JasperForex

PRO
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About me Novice trader, realising it takes absolutely no skill at all to place a winning trade. It does to consistently do it.
Joined Spain
You don´t need to be a weatherman to know which way the wind blows - B. Dylan
Markets Allocation
Top Mentioned Symbols
EURUSD 28% | 22 EURJPY 14% | 11 AUDUSD 13% | 10 GBPUSD 11% | 9
JasperForex JasperForex PRO GBPUSD, D, Short ,
GBPUSD: GBPUSD: Shorting the Cable at Resistance
1676 13 55
GBPUSD, D Short
GBPUSD: Shorting the Cable at Resistance

Last week saw a net win for the Cable of 130 pips, mainly due to a strong rally on Wednesday fueled by solid UK employment numbers with average earnings at 3% and the unemployment rate at 5.4%, a 7-year low. This strengthened the Pound while bad US retail and ppi data weakened the Dollar. Not all data was good for the Pound last week, as the latest cpi numbers (an ...

JasperForex JasperForex PRO EURUSD, 30,
EURUSD: Trading the FOMC event
2399 26 53
EURUSD, 30
Trading the FOMC event

In 8 hours we will witness the perhaps most anticipated news event in Forex of 2015 so far. The FED will communicate their rate decision, accompanied by a written statement, economic projections and a press conference. The Dollar is fundamentally the strongest currency due to the expectation of a rate hike this year. This sets it apart from currencies like the ...

JasperForex JasperForex PRO EURUSD, 60, Short ,
EURUSD: EURUSD: Trading Confluence on the Fibre
2868 16 48
EURUSD, 60 Short
EURUSD: Trading Confluence on the Fibre

The Fibre had a bullish week, printing a green candle every day for a total gain of 190 pips. We have seen mixed data points for both the Eurozone and the US but the main fundamental driver is obviously next Thursday´s FOMC event (interest rate, policy statement and press conference) as market players are preparing their positions. Not only the Fibre was bullish, ...

JasperForex JasperForex PRO GBPUSD, D, Long ,
GBPUSD: GBPUSD: As Simple as ABCD?
4759 53 104
GBPUSD, D Long
GBPUSD: As Simple as ABCD?

The Cable dropped 240 pips last week and over 600 pips (!) the last 9 days without any fundamental reason I can find related to the UK economy or BoE, apart from some purchasing managers' indices missing their expectation. Last Wednesday the US ADP Non-Farm Employment Change missed expectation, signalling a potential miss of NFP on Friday, which did indeed happen. ...

JasperForex JasperForex PRO EURUSD, 30,
EURUSD: 10 more things I learned in my short trading career
6615 70 121
EURUSD, 30
10 more things I learned in my short trading career

1. Go online and connect with other traders, ask the right questions (keyword: right) and talk shop. Joining TradingView is the best decision I made by far since I started trading. Social networks add value and my trading has improved a lot by being exposed to different ways to trade and by being able to see what works and what does not. But never trust a trader ...

JasperForex JasperForex PRO GBPUSD, 240, Short ,
GBPUSD: GBPUSD: Quintuple Top on the Cable
3576 55 61
GBPUSD, 240 Short
GBPUSD: Quintuple Top on the Cable

Last week the dollar weakened prior to FOMC, helping the Cable rise during the first three days of the week. The UK GDP coming out as expected also supported the rise; illustrating the economy is doing well. In the FOMC statement on Wednesday the FED referred to solid job creation and said there will be an increase in interest rates following 'some further' ...

JasperForex JasperForex PRO USDJPY, 60, Long ,
USDJPY: USDJPY: the Ninja Gathering Steam
1035 2 29
USDJPY, 60 Long
USDJPY: the Ninja Gathering Steam

Last week this major went up a total of 160 pips, gaining ground for a third week in a row and reaching highs not seen since 2002. On Monday three US data points came out better than expected (including the high impact ism manufacturing pmi) resulting in a 100-pip rally. Tuesday we saw overall dollar weakness while commodities like gold and oil rallied. But the ...

JasperForex JasperForex PRO USDCAD, 240, Short ,
USDCAD: USDCAD: a Reversal Play on the Loonie (2618 trade)
1678 35 37
USDCAD, 240 Short
USDCAD: a Reversal Play on the Loonie (2618 trade)

Last week the Greenback opened bullish on the back of the prior Fridays better-than-expected core cpi readings and strengthened throughout the week. On Tuesday it made strong gains as core durable goods, consumer confidence and new home sales all beat expectations. These positive readings reinforced dollar strength. Wednesday´s BoC rate decision and statement was ...

JasperForex JasperForex PRO USDCAD, 240, Long ,
USDCAD: USDCAD: a Continuation Play on the Loonie
3927 26 39
USDCAD, 240 Long
USDCAD: a Continuation Play on the Loonie

Last week the dollar finally traded in line with fundamentals again, with the Dollar Index gaining four out of five days. There had been a strong bearish sentiment surrounding the dollar for the last couple of weeks, helped by key data points coming out unfavourably and when a currency is fundamentally bullish, but sentiment-wise bearish, the result is choppy ...

JasperForex JasperForex PRO EURUSD, D,
EURUSD: EURUSD: It’s all about the US economic data
4262 44 54
EURUSD, D
EURUSD: It’s all about the US economic data

Four out of five days the price for the Fiber advanced last week, for a total of 250 pips, printing a higher high in a string of consecutive higher highs and higher lows since it came off its low over a month ago. Ever since the FED went data dependent, there is a lot of volatility in this pair around the release of US data items. The bearish sentiment on the ...

JasperForex JasperForex PRO EURGBP, 240, Long ,
EURGBP: EURGBP: Reusing the Gartley Pattern
904 14 15
EURGBP, 240 Long
EURGBP: Reusing the Gartley Pattern

I don’t publish all my trades obviously, but every day I am a couple of hours in the forex chat, where I share thoughts about the market and pairs I am watching. The chat provides a more instant way to share views by posting quick charts of trade ideas in real time. Last Thursday I posted a snapshot of a EURGBP setup -before going short- when price was smack in ...

JasperForex JasperForex PRO AUDUSD, 60,
AUDUSD: AUDUSD: Bullish and Bearish Scenarios
981 7 16
AUDUSD, 60
AUDUSD: Bullish and Bearish Scenarios

Last week the main event for the Aussie Dollar happened on Tuesday, when the RBA cut the rates to a record low of 2%. After a quick spike down, price started to rally a staggering 250 pips in the following two days, since the cut had been anticipated and the statement (mentioning improved demand, high employment and inflation in line with goals) was perceived as ...

JasperForex JasperForex PRO GBPUSD, 240, Short ,
GBPUSD: GBPUSD: The Cable after a week of Elections, Rallies and Spikes
1636 11 20
GBPUSD, 240 Short
GBPUSD: The Cable after a week of Elections, Rallies and Spikes

One of the highlights of last week was the UK general election. The cable remained remarkably resilient and even rallied over 200 pips prior to the elections, as a result of the dollar weakening and the UK services pmi coming in better than expected. On the day of the elections itself, it dropped almost 100 pips, due to the uncertainty of there potentially being ...

JasperForex JasperForex PRO EURUSD, 30,
EURUSD: Stop Losses, Love Them Or Hate Them
4394 66 50
EURUSD, 30
Stop Losses, Love Them Or Hate Them

Stop losses aim to end a trade when the market goes so far in the opposite direction, that the trade idea no longer makes sense. It’s the point of invalidation. Ideally, they get hit on bad trades only and not on good trades. The area between entry point and stop loss is a zone where the trade is at a loss, but can still recover. This is not an invalidation of the ...

JasperForex JasperForex PRO BTCUSD, D,
BTCUSD: Bitcoin: Period of Consolidation
2268 15 30
BTCUSD, D
Bitcoin: Period of Consolidation

I thought I would try another one after publishing an idea on the 4H timeframe, this time I looked at the daily for BTC. I do not trade Bitcoin and do this as a mental exercise, using the same tools / methods I use for trading Forex. You can find the link to the 4H chart under Related Ideas. The currency traded inside a bearish parallel channel for 286 days, ...

JasperForex JasperForex PRO BTCUSD, 240, Short ,
BTCUSD: Bitcoin: Hidden RSI Divergence in a Bearish Channel
874 7 20
BTCUSD, 240 Short
Bitcoin: Hidden RSI Divergence in a Bearish Channel

The digital currency has been trading in a bearish parallel channel on the 4H timeframe for over 18 days and has just tested the upper trend line. Since April 6th is has been printing lower highs consecutively, indicating its clearly bearish on this timeframe. Price touched the 382 Fibonacci retracement of the swing low that started on April 6th and seems ready ...

JasperForex JasperForex PRO AUDUSD, 240, Short ,
AUDUSD: AUDUSD: Another Bat on the Aussie Dollar
777 0 21
AUDUSD, 240 Short
AUDUSD: Another Bat on the Aussie Dollar

Last week started with a move lower for this pair as the Chinese trade balance was showing a much lower than expected reading. The market anticipated a negative effect on the Australian economy by this Chinese slowdown. Later in the week the pair recovered after some very good Australian employment data caused the market to change its view on an RBA rate cut in ...

JasperForex JasperForex PRO EURUSD, 30,
EURUSD: Non Charting Tools for Forex Traders
3096 42 40
EURUSD, 30
Non Charting Tools for Forex Traders

I am listing the tools I use daily, during my trading schedule, when I trade the Forex market. I am using general descriptions in this list since I am not endorsing any particular paid service, or website. Tradingview A high quality charting platform with all the price charts and many powerful yet intuitive tools. Every single trade I take I chart it here first, ...

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