JasperForex

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About me Novice trader, realising it takes absolutely no skill at all to place a winning trade. It does to consistently do it.
Online Joined Spain
You don´t need to be a weatherman to know which way the wind blows - B. Dylan
Markets Allocation
Top Mentioned Symbols
EURUSD 29% | 23 EURJPY 14% | 11 AUDUSD 12% | 10 GBPUSD 11% | 9
JasperForex JasperForex EURUSD, D, Education
EURUSD: How to record a video idea
05:23
420 0 22
EURUSD, D Education
How to record a video idea

The video idea is a great new feature that is currently being beta tested. It will be released to the community as soon as this test ends. I have been asked several times how to record a video idea and what its like. In this educational idea I explain how to do that using the Firefox browser. I hope its informative!

JasperForex JasperForex USDJPY, 240,
USDJPY: Short trade on the Ninja
03:01
1036 20 47
USDJPY, 240
Short trade on the Ninja

Its been a while since I last published something. But because TradingView has just implemented an awesome new feature, the video idea, I thought I would publish a new idea to see how it works. Its a simple idea on the Ninja based on confluence with a nice risk-to-reward. Check out the spoken commentary for further details and let me know what you think of the ...

JasperForex JasperForex GBPUSD, D, Short ,
GBPUSD: GBPUSD: Shorting the Cable at Resistance
1810 13 60
GBPUSD, D Short
GBPUSD: Shorting the Cable at Resistance

Last week saw a net win for the Cable of 130 pips, mainly due to a strong rally on Wednesday fueled by solid UK employment numbers with average earnings at 3% and the unemployment rate at 5.4%, a 7-year low. This strengthened the Pound while bad US retail and ppi data weakened the Dollar. Not all data was good for the Pound last week, as the latest cpi numbers (an ...

JasperForex JasperForex EURUSD, 30,
EURUSD: Trading the FOMC event
2447 26 55
EURUSD, 30
Trading the FOMC event

In 8 hours we will witness the perhaps most anticipated news event in Forex of 2015 so far. The FED will communicate their rate decision, accompanied by a written statement, economic projections and a press conference. The Dollar is fundamentally the strongest currency due to the expectation of a rate hike this year. This sets it apart from currencies like the ...

JasperForex JasperForex EURUSD, 60, Short ,
EURUSD: EURUSD: Trading Confluence on the Fibre
2934 16 49
EURUSD, 60 Short
EURUSD: Trading Confluence on the Fibre

The Fibre had a bullish week, printing a green candle every day for a total gain of 190 pips. We have seen mixed data points for both the Eurozone and the US but the main fundamental driver is obviously next Thursday´s FOMC event (interest rate, policy statement and press conference) as market players are preparing their positions. Not only the Fibre was bullish, ...

JasperForex JasperForex GBPUSD, D, Long ,
GBPUSD: GBPUSD: As Simple as ABCD?
4823 53 105
GBPUSD, D Long
GBPUSD: As Simple as ABCD?

The Cable dropped 240 pips last week and over 600 pips (!) the last 9 days without any fundamental reason I can find related to the UK economy or BoE, apart from some purchasing managers' indices missing their expectation. Last Wednesday the US ADP Non-Farm Employment Change missed expectation, signalling a potential miss of NFP on Friday, which did indeed happen. ...

JasperForex JasperForex EURUSD, 30, Education
EURUSD: 10 more things I learned in my short trading career
6847 70 126
EURUSD, 30 Education
10 more things I learned in my short trading career

1. Go online and connect with other traders, ask the right questions (keyword: right) and talk shop. Joining TradingView is the best decision I made by far since I started trading. Social networks add value and my trading has improved a lot by being exposed to different ways to trade and by being able to see what works and what does not. But never trust a trader ...

JasperForex JasperForex GBPUSD, 240, Short ,
GBPUSD: GBPUSD: Quintuple Top on the Cable
3619 55 61
GBPUSD, 240 Short
GBPUSD: Quintuple Top on the Cable

Last week the dollar weakened prior to FOMC, helping the Cable rise during the first three days of the week. The UK GDP coming out as expected also supported the rise; illustrating the economy is doing well. In the FOMC statement on Wednesday the FED referred to solid job creation and said there will be an increase in interest rates following 'some further' ...

JasperForex JasperForex USDJPY, 60, Long ,
USDJPY: USDJPY: the Ninja Gathering Steam
1065 2 29
USDJPY, 60 Long
USDJPY: the Ninja Gathering Steam

Last week this major went up a total of 160 pips, gaining ground for a third week in a row and reaching highs not seen since 2002. On Monday three US data points came out better than expected (including the high impact ism manufacturing pmi) resulting in a 100-pip rally. Tuesday we saw overall dollar weakness while commodities like gold and oil rallied. But the ...

JasperForex JasperForex USDCAD, 240, Short ,
USDCAD: USDCAD: a Reversal Play on the Loonie (2618 trade)
1705 35 37
USDCAD, 240 Short
USDCAD: a Reversal Play on the Loonie (2618 trade)

Last week the Greenback opened bullish on the back of the prior Fridays better-than-expected core cpi readings and strengthened throughout the week. On Tuesday it made strong gains as core durable goods, consumer confidence and new home sales all beat expectations. These positive readings reinforced dollar strength. Wednesday´s BoC rate decision and statement was ...

JasperForex JasperForex USDCAD, 240, Long ,
USDCAD: USDCAD: a Continuation Play on the Loonie
6264 26 50
USDCAD, 240 Long
USDCAD: a Continuation Play on the Loonie

Last week the dollar finally traded in line with fundamentals again, with the Dollar Index gaining four out of five days. There had been a strong bearish sentiment surrounding the dollar for the last couple of weeks, helped by key data points coming out unfavourably and when a currency is fundamentally bullish, but sentiment-wise bearish, the result is choppy ...

JasperForex JasperForex EURUSD, D,
EURUSD: EURUSD: It’s all about the US economic data
4279 44 54
EURUSD, D
EURUSD: It’s all about the US economic data

Four out of five days the price for the Fiber advanced last week, for a total of 250 pips, printing a higher high in a string of consecutive higher highs and higher lows since it came off its low over a month ago. Ever since the FED went data dependent, there is a lot of volatility in this pair around the release of US data items. The bearish sentiment on the ...

JasperForex JasperForex EURGBP, 240, Long ,
EURGBP: EURGBP: Reusing the Gartley Pattern
919 14 15
EURGBP, 240 Long
EURGBP: Reusing the Gartley Pattern

I don’t publish all my trades obviously, but every day I am a couple of hours in the forex chat, where I share thoughts about the market and pairs I am watching. The chat provides a more instant way to share views by posting quick charts of trade ideas in real time. Last Thursday I posted a snapshot of a EURGBP setup -before going short- when price was smack in ...

JasperForex JasperForex AUDUSD, 60,
AUDUSD: AUDUSD: Bullish and Bearish Scenarios
989 7 16
AUDUSD, 60
AUDUSD: Bullish and Bearish Scenarios

Last week the main event for the Aussie Dollar happened on Tuesday, when the RBA cut the rates to a record low of 2%. After a quick spike down, price started to rally a staggering 250 pips in the following two days, since the cut had been anticipated and the statement (mentioning improved demand, high employment and inflation in line with goals) was perceived as ...

JasperForex JasperForex GBPUSD, 240, Short ,
GBPUSD: GBPUSD: The Cable after a week of Elections, Rallies and Spikes
1647 11 20
GBPUSD, 240 Short
GBPUSD: The Cable after a week of Elections, Rallies and Spikes

One of the highlights of last week was the UK general election. The cable remained remarkably resilient and even rallied over 200 pips prior to the elections, as a result of the dollar weakening and the UK services pmi coming in better than expected. On the day of the elections itself, it dropped almost 100 pips, due to the uncertainty of there potentially being ...

JasperForex JasperForex EURUSD, 30, Education
EURUSD: Stop Losses, Love Them Or Hate Them
4729 66 56
EURUSD, 30 Education
Stop Losses, Love Them Or Hate Them

Stop losses aim to end a trade when the market goes so far in the opposite direction, that the trade idea no longer makes sense. It’s the point of invalidation. Ideally, they get hit on bad trades only and not on good trades. The area between entry point and stop loss is a zone where the trade is at a loss, but can still recover. This is not an invalidation of the ...

JasperForex JasperForex BTCUSD, D,
BTCUSD: Bitcoin: Period of Consolidation
2285 15 30
BTCUSD, D
Bitcoin: Period of Consolidation

I thought I would try another one after publishing an idea on the 4H timeframe, this time I looked at the daily for BTC. I do not trade Bitcoin and do this as a mental exercise, using the same tools / methods I use for trading Forex. You can find the link to the 4H chart under Related Ideas. The currency traded inside a bearish parallel channel for 286 days, ...

JasperForex JasperForex BTCUSD, 240, Short ,
BTCUSD: Bitcoin: Hidden RSI Divergence in a Bearish Channel
892 7 20
BTCUSD, 240 Short
Bitcoin: Hidden RSI Divergence in a Bearish Channel

The digital currency has been trading in a bearish parallel channel on the 4H timeframe for over 18 days and has just tested the upper trend line. Since April 6th is has been printing lower highs consecutively, indicating its clearly bearish on this timeframe. Price touched the 382 Fibonacci retracement of the swing low that started on April 6th and seems ready ...

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