This trade location is approaching again and it again could be a great trade. However i am liking the opposite trade more now due to the rising prices in oil. So the short could be a nice fast scalp but the trade I will focus on, as long as oil is seeking higher values, is a long of the bottom of this upper range.
looking to short this spread at the line and arrow, these can be ugly, but also very nice and use very little buying power. Ask me if like more details
looks to me the price of close in oil is getting ahead of it's self, so try to get a fill to see that reverse. This one will have about a 1K pbr so will shoot for about a $500 gain, however the down side on thins one could exceed 500 also
This spread is now on the radar but waiting to see thing settle down a bit in Texas. So will be ready to act when refiners come back on line or if we push to a crazy extreme
When we look out a year and a bit Wheat is looking to be at a big premium to this Dec wheat, so at this extreme will add in a long dec/dec calendar tot eh already short put position. Please hit me up if anyone has any questions when looking to try one of these low cost spread trades.
Soy on the year over year spread is getting to its widest point and could be setting up a good buying spot. This is a great way to get long beans from this low with great reduction of buying power. After a confirmed bounce off bottom and if we still have enough time will look to adding a theta component to the trade. Please feel free to ask questions.
I have a big picture tool I use that has been very good to me and it is now indicating shorting puts in wheat will be a good spot to take advantage of a sideways or climbing wheat prices. I will trade the 31 DTE options and will move down to the 30 delta strike put to give it a bit of wiggle room. Not a big trade but not much buying power is used either
last time I published one of these spreads my last words was I would be rolling in to the next contract on the front side. I did not feel the need to publish this chart because it was already talked about. that roll happened at 2.08 and now trading 1.5. that is a return on invested capital of 75% in about 2 weeks
the further out in time we go the smaller the spread between front and back, so thinking the front to out 6 months should narrow so going to take a position on that idea
this is a measured move target from the election drop
this is the trade i will be looking at, instead of one shown is last published idea, due to the extra time it provides me. The last one used up to much of the front month
This is a trade that triggered real fast so didn't get it here pre launch, but if we should roll back to the trigger point it would still be good
If this can get back to a $5 will go long front and short back
overnight takes us to a no mans land, and will need some confirming info overnight inventory is balanced extreme, so thinking a open down move is primary thought as you can tell i go into each day with a few ideas and then take action on the one that looks the most likely to happen i have a 2137 upper and a 2131 lower, and in between, going to call it chop, or...
This is for the ES if using other products please adjust the numbers today Monday, 100% long overnight inventory, so first reaction is often a opening down move, this retrace should land at either 2156 or 2152 by 2152 is my over under zone, so lean long if remain over, and lean short if under targets on the opening retrace bounce are 2156, 62, 67 if we get...
like others, let this drop below red line, then when we pass back above line long front short back. I would like to know if anyone has used these ideas, if not I will look to post more use able stuff, just don't want to be like everyone else?