laissezfaire

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Joined macrodidact
Markets Allocation
63 % stocks 13 % forex 6 % indices 19 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
RCL 12% | 2 SPY 12% | 2 MAR 6% | 1 KQY 6% | 1
laissezfaire laissezfaire KQY0, D,
KQY0: KOSPI in 6Y Wedge Pattern
50 0 1
KQY0, D
KOSPI in 6Y Wedge Pattern

Symmetrical wedge implies a continuation pattern with upside resolution. But fundamentals are bearish for Korea, including declining global trade, domestic political turmoil, U.S. protectionism, and the global dollar shortage. Neutral until wedge breakout is confirmed.

laissezfaire laissezfaire USDSGD, W, Long ,
USDSGD: Last time USDSGD rose to current level: Oct 2008
21 0 4
USDSGD, W Long
Last time USDSGD rose to current level: Oct 2008

Has also surpassed Dollar peak in Q4 2015 before reload. Keep an eye on YoY% change; decisive pivot to positive rate-of-change consistent with Dollar take-off in 2014. From U.S. Election = 8.73% upside to GFC high. Channel-bound for now.

laissezfaire laissezfaire USOIL, D,
USOIL: WTI - Third Time's the Charm
62 0 1
USOIL, D
WTI - Third Time's the Charm

Yet to see a convincing upside breakout for WTI. Global growth is slowing and consumption is falling. What can save oil: massive supply disruption via conflict/war, USD debasement, coordinated production cuts (highly improbable, and if so only in name and not in practice). Bias is a double-bottom in oil but these political and monetary lunatics could go go off-script.

laissezfaire laissezfaire USDGBP, W, Long ,
USDGBP: New Range for Cable
15 0 2
USDGBP, W Long
New Range for Cable

Cable has broken out of 20y+ trading range and needs to establish a new range top. A near-term breakout could have 1985 highs in its sights...

laissezfaire laissezfaire SPY, 30, Short ,
SPY: SPY Post-Coup Churn
53 1 2
SPY, 30 Short
SPY Post-Coup Churn

SPY has been range-bound since the attempted Turkish coup. Need a decisive, volume-driven break to get out of this range.

laissezfaire laissezfaire XAUUSD, 15,
XAUUSD: Since Brexit, Gold Playing Solid Defense
58 0 2
XAUUSD, 15
Since Brexit, Gold Playing Solid Defense

Gold futures have been tested multiple times at ~$1,310 and held leading into a massive data week ahead.

laissezfaire laissezfaire AIG, D, Short ,
AIG: AIG failing to breakout 50d MA
7 0 2
AIG, D Short
AIG failing to breakout 50d MA

While the market ripped to new highs, albeit on low volume, AIG has struggled to break its own 50d MA in the past week. With NIRP, ZIRP, and flat equities since 2015, can't be good for AIG. Short into earnings...

laissezfaire laissezfaire RCL, D, Short ,
RCL: Head & Shoulders Update
26 0 3
RCL, D Short
Head & Shoulders Update

RCL breaking through all kinds of levels. Terrorism on the rise and consumer is less confident. Shorting to the ground.

laissezfaire laissezfaire FL, D, Short ,
FL: Foot Locker Gaps Out of Downward Triangle
6 0 2
FL, D Short
Foot Locker Gaps Out of Downward Triangle

Consumer discretionaries are getting trounced. Watch this one...

laissezfaire laissezfaire SPY, D,
SPY: Schizophrenic Market & Oil Correlation Decoupled
22 0 1
SPY, D
Schizophrenic Market & Oil Correlation Decoupled

The talking-heads on TV have moved on...

laissezfaire laissezfaire SPX500, D,
SPX500: Schizophrenic Oil & Equities Correlation Decoupled
50 0 3
SPX500, D
Schizophrenic Oil & Equities Correlation Decoupled

The talking-heads on TV have moved on and so should you...

laissezfaire laissezfaire EAT, D, Short ,
EAT: 2-Yr Head & Shoulders
10 0 3
EAT, D Short
2-Yr Head & Shoulders

Can their 6.5% profit margin and $1.2 billion debt withstand a consumer downturn?

laissezfaire laissezfaire BBY, W, Short ,
BBY: Downward Channel
18 0 1
BBY, W Short
Downward Channel

Does anyone still shop at Best Buy?

laissezfaire laissezfaire RCL, W, Short ,
RCL: Sinking Ship
8 0 2
RCL, W Short
Sinking Ship

Gorgeous head-and-shoulders pattern + EU shit-show exposure

laissezfaire laissezfaire MAR, W, Short ,
MAR: Marriott Trading in Downward Channel...
5 0 2
MAR, W Short
Marriott Trading in Downward Channel...

and looking to challenge 2012 support with little volume till PoC at $38.

laissezfaire laissezfaire ALGT, D, Short ,
ALGT: $ALGT Descending H&S
7 0 2
ALGT, D Short
$ALGT Descending H&S

US regional airliner flying underserved routes - textbook head-and-shoulders.

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