michaelgoldin

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Last visit Joined a year ago
Markets Allocation
43 % stocks 57 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
TLT 14% | 1 NVDA 14% | 1 DXY 14% | 1 VIX 14% | 1
michaelgoldin michaelgoldin XAUUSD, W, Long , 11 days ago
XAUUSD: Cycle bottom
34 1 2
XAUUSD, W Long
Cycle bottom
Note Gold's cyclical bottoms. They occur ever 24 weeks (6 months, 1/2 year) They can be offset, early or late, but they occur with regular frequency. Lesson: Wait for the 24-week correction to enter Gold long.
michaelgoldin michaelgoldin NVDA, W, Short , 11 days ago
NVDA: What goes up...
112 2 4
NVDA, W Short
What goes up...
NVDA has gone utterly parabolic. The rush for the doors will be crowded... P/E: 50 P/B: 9 Projected EPS growth next year: 9% Insider transactions over past 6 mo.: -20% 95% above the long term consensus of value (50WMA)
michaelgoldin michaelgoldin DXY, W, Short , 12 days ago
DXY: Careful Dollar Bulls
36 2 2
DXY, W Short
Careful Dollar Bulls
The DXY has surprised everyone, breaking out to multi-year highs. Bearish thesis: Price is currently stretched 13% above the long term consensus of value (200WMA) RSI and MACD show negative divergence Should the dollar reverse and close below $100, a powerful bear trap would be elected. A topping or engulfing ...
michaelgoldin michaelgoldin VIX, D, 12 days ago
VIX: Where is the fear?
37 3 1
VIX, D
Where is the fear?
Seems like all anxiety and fear in the market is gone. I am hesitant to believe the market will receive Trump with such benevolence longer term. The market has reacted as the new president has eliminated bureaucracy and inefficiencies in the government. His policies remain rumors at the moment. Nothing is official ...
michaelgoldin michaelgoldin TLT, W, 12 days ago
TLT: Bonds do correct
23 2 1
TLT, W
Bonds do correct
We have been hearing a lot of bearish sentiment on bonds recently. Many proclaim the death of the multi-decade bond bull. We have not heard Janet Yellen's FOMC statements on interest rates yet. The economic data is not overwhelmingly strong, so one could expect a dovish outlook. Trump does not control interest ...
michaelgoldin michaelgoldin QQQ, W, 12 days ago
QQQ: Rotate out of technology
43 3 1
QQQ, W
Rotate out of technology
Very difficult to get the timing right, but I believe we are nearing the top of the epic NASDAQ-100 run. Prices could consolidate or levitate upwards for weeks/months Price is currently stretched >20% above the long term consensus of value (200WMA) Price is forming a bearish ascending wedge RSI is showing ...
michaelgoldin michaelgoldin SPX, D, 22 days ago
SPX: Election
68 0 4
SPX, D
Election
Election Retrospective What a day! in attempt to understand how markets function, I postulate what could have happened. The following is for entertainment and education is not actionable. On election night, after Trump was elected, the SP500 crashed 110 points (5%) before erasing all loses and spiking 130 ...
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