mr2016

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Markets Allocation
50 % stocks 13 % indices 38 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
SPX 25% | 4 GS 6% | 1 VOD 6% | 1 DTE 6% | 1
mr2016 mr2016 SPX, W,
SPX: SPX Since 1975 Channels
39 0 4
SPX, W
SPX Since 1975 Channels

SPX Since 1975 Channels

mr2016 mr2016 GS, W,
GS: GS IBD
15 0 7
GS, W
GS IBD

GS IBD

mr2016 mr2016 GOOGL, W,
GOOGL: GOOGL IBD
24 0 6
GOOGL, W
GOOGL IBD

GOOGL IBD

mr2016 mr2016 AAPL, W,
AAPL: AAPL IBD
25 0 6
AAPL, W
AAPL IBD

AAPL IBD

mr2016 mr2016 BT, W,
BT: BT IBD
8 0 5
BT, W
BT IBD

BT IBD

mr2016 mr2016 DTE, W,
DTE: DTED IBD
4 0 6
DTE, W
DTED IBD

DTED IBD analysis

mr2016 mr2016 VOD, W,
VOD: VOD IBD
11 0 6
VOD, W
VOD IBD

VOD IBD

mr2016 mr2016 S, W,
S: S IBD
17 0 6
S, W
S IBD

S IBD analysis

mr2016 mr2016 T, W,
T: T IBD
25 0 7
T, W
T IBD

IBD study

mr2016 mr2016 SPX, W,
SPX: SPX with ECM Armstrong model
75 0 8
SPX, W
SPX with ECM Armstrong model

QE and Fiscal stimulus already distort the Economic business model cycle proposed by Armstrong.

mr2016 mr2016 TRJEFFCRB, W,
TRJEFFCRB: ECM cycle line with Reuters CRB and WTI Oil
10 0 5
TRJEFFCRB, W
ECM cycle line with Reuters CRB and WTI Oil

Judge by the level of commodities indexes and oil price correction depth level, we already had a financial crisis. now fiscal stimulus and QE can serve as a ICU, cover the real situation of a person.

mr2016 mr2016 SPX, W,
SPX: SPX Log Channel with correction line
34 0 5
SPX, W
SPX Log Channel with correction line

Minor correction line, uncertainty event drive as main reason. (Brexit, Election) it's interesting that in a bullish trend, market follows a log channel nicely. (previous 3 cycles)

mr2016 mr2016 SPX, W,
SPX: SPX always flow the channels
30 0 3
SPX, W
SPX always flow the channels

Will it be able to touch the upper channel line before have another correction?

mr2016 mr2016 FRED/T10Y2Y, W,
FRED/T10Y2Y: US Financial sector Bank relative growth vs 10y-2y yield spread
27 0 3
FRED/T10Y2Y, W
US Financial sector Bank relative growth vs 10y-2y yield spread

US Financial sector Bank relative growth vs 10y-2y yield spread you can see the high correlation between the two.

mr2016 mr2016 ISM/MAN_PMI, M,
ISM/MAN_PMI: ISM PMI vs US dollar index, tend to negative correlated
86 0 1
ISM/MAN_PMI, M
ISM PMI vs US dollar index, tend to negative correlated

ISM PMI vs US dollar index, tend to negative correlated

mr2016 mr2016 (XLB+XLF+XLI+XLK+XLY)/5, W,
(XLB+XLF+XLI+XLK+XLY)/5: US Cyclical vs Defensive performance
US Cyclical vs Defensive performance

XLE still a big drag in cyclical.

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