SPX Since 1975 Channels
DTED IBD analysis
S IBD analysis
QE and Fiscal stimulus already distort the Economic business model cycle proposed by Armstrong.
Judge by the level of commodities indexes and oil price correction depth level, we already had a financial crisis.
now fiscal stimulus and QE can serve as a ICU, cover the real situation of a person.
Minor correction line, uncertainty event drive as main reason. (Brexit, Election)
it's interesting that in a bullish trend, market follows a log channel nicely. (previous 3 cycles)
Will it be able to touch the upper channel line before have another correction?
US Financial sector Bank relative growth vs 10y-2y yield spread
you can see the high correlation between the two.
ISM PMI vs US dollar index, tend to negative correlated
XLE still a big drag in cyclical.