The weekly imbalance is still drawing price like a magnet. If a 4h/1h fair value gap forms to the upside, I'm pretty sure we will take out the outlined highs there. Or at least one of them. We will see how price behaves after it takes the first buyside liquidity. If it creates gaps to the upside than the next target is the 4h equal highs. I would like to see a...
If we close below the outlined gap, than shorts are high probable on EU. Of course we should always watch DXY too. But if price action is in line and we form gaps downwards, I would definitely target the weekly fvg first. Full margin + a house ofc. Be safe, smart and patient guys. ok byyy
DXY will dictate the pace, check out my detailed idea on that. Overall, if price tends to be bullish, I would like to see that daily fair value gap disrespected. I won't wait until price closes above it. First I want to see it trades into, creating a gap along the way. Than anticipate a small retracement back into that. That would indicate bullish order flow in...
Major liquidity has been mitigated. Now where? This is a situation where you should not look for targets far away. At least I would wait for the outlined levels to be run through. For the upside I will be careful with the upper 4h fvg. It's a level where price can stumble a bit. Or even turn over for lower targets again. But! It's a future puzzle to solve. The...
Okay so my first target is the daily swing low. As we have created a new weekly fair value gap, price made a run for it but if you zoom in, it never touched... neither the weekly fvg nor the daily ob. Kinda suspicious for me, because I see yummmy liquidity inside the fvg. It could be a nice target for price. But! we are currenty respecting a 4h fvg, which is not a...
EUR is in line with DXY. I'll be looking for longs the upcoming days. Two thing. Fair value gaps and candle closures. That's it. xoxo
Fair value gaps and price closures. That's it. Thank you casper for optimizing the approach.
Beautiful AMD setup on Friday. Clear liquidity on both sides of the market. Framing a narrative with the help of liquidity is pure joy (at least for me lol). Didn't trade this Friday so it's just a hindsight bullshit, but had to post this because it's a beauty. You really don't need more than this - accumulation - manipulation - distribution - with fair value...
If price stays closed above Mondays low, than I expect a wick into the 1h orderblock in discount. Price should react from that level to the upside. Remember: -trading before CPI is low probability -trading during CPI is gambling Best thing to do is wait for the news, than see if the market reversed or continued the expansion upwards.
I have outlined the major levels to watch for EUR. I'm bearish as long as price doesn't make a run for Thursday's high. If it does, I'll sit out and watch. The ultimate confluence for bearish euro is if price can close below Friday's low. Possible swing highs can occur on Tuesday and Wednesday 8:30. Check out the speculations for DXY for further confluences, I've...
As always I try to hop on to the weekly ride. For that, I have put together a puzzle with the data that the previous week has provided. These outlooks are not certain outcomes that will happen. These moves are speculations, that should (and will) form/change accordingly to live price action. There are levels that should hold to support the idea, and levels that...
Monday provided a corrective move down as the sell side of the curve after taking out buy-side liquidity. Price is respecting the 1h fvg. Possible smart money reversal here to take out the original consolidation on the upside. The bigger objective is still bearish, this is just the narrative of how will the market use the volatility provided by the news. Weekly...
Price is in a higher timeframe (monthly) fair value gap. We can see an accumulation phase formed during the prior weeks. The move I want to see is a manipulation leg upwards to take out and generate buy-side liquidity to fuel the distribution to the downside. Price should pair these short positions below the 4h old lows. The possible market maker sell model...
On Monday I was anticipating a Wednesday high of the week. But as we got more data, the candles are showing that tomorrow will give us a retracement into the 62-80% levels of the current displacement leg. The 1h ob/bpr range would be a nice target for the news to wick into before declining lower. That's something that I really like in the markets. Each day I have...
Lot of high impact news this week. In line with DXY, I anticipate to meet the weekly amplitude on Wednesday. The weekly profile prior news is usually a consolidation - manipulation phase. The volatility will be used to meet lower targets with quick moves with momentum. The exact high is hard to call (news are wild), but it is highly probable that we stay closed...
News are dropping next week. I'm sticking to the bullish bias. I anticipate FOMC to create the low of the week at Wednesday 7-7:30. NFP can bring further volatility to meet the draw on liquidity at the end of the week. Looking forward whether we range or create a manipulation leg on Monday and Tuesday. Monday is a possible sell scenario for dollar, buy day for...
Based on the current bias that I've posted on DXY (long) and also on UCAD (long) this is a nice 1h ongoing trade idea. This is the model in a nutshell that I use on a daily/weekly bases to catch high probability trades according to my bias. The main thing to take away is the power of three formation. Have you guys ever heard of that?
So the DXY has a clear draw on liquidity to the upside. Starting to create a bullish displacement leg, if price can close above the marked up potential market structure shift, than without any bigger retracements I anticipate it to go higher to the external range liquidity which is the ultimate DOL for the upcoming days. Price raided multiple internal liquidity...