Ten_Dimension_Trader

太阳纸业创历史新高后的日线孕线上破做多

Long
SZSE:002078   SHANDONG SUNPAPER
太阳纸业创下历史新高(天然的多头观点来源)
透过日线孕线上破确认入场做多(交易计划)
根据hv读数为0.48,则目标位16.13*0.48/2=20
但是由于入场位在16.3,止损位在15.8,那么止损幅度为0.5
以7倍的盈亏比来计算,则止盈位在19.8(小于20)
即获胜概率为1/7=14.3%,再叠加40%的权重,就是14.3*(1+40%)=20%
那么凯利值为(7*20%-(1-20%))/7=8.57%
即10万人民币的账户可以亏8570,则可以买171手(但是要融资才行,至少得有3倍杠杆)
(交易执行)
且看后市如何了
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