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Is American Airlines Flying South?

Short
NASDAQ:AAL   American Airlines Group, Inc
American Airlines has been trying to hold $20 for the last two months, but now it may be ready for a deeper breakdown.

Notice how AAL bounced firmly at that level in mid-April. It’s tried to get back above $20 in the past month, but without much success. That suggests old support has become new resistance.

Next you have the trio of lower highs on July 27, August 11 and September 9.

Third, the 50-day simple moving average ( SMA ) has been pushing downward toward the 200-day SMA . At its current pace, that “death cross” could occur soon.

Fourth, the weekly chart had a bearish inside candle last week and a bearish outside candle this week. That may suggest a period of tightening and consolidation is ending.

Finally, the macro backdrop is potentially difficult for AAL as travel remains below pre-pandemic levels and Transports struggle. It’s also one of the most leveraged members of the S&P 500 .

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