FinnReilly2f

Potential Elliott Target of 200 for AAPL

Short
BATS:AAPL   Apple Inc
0
The Elliott Wave picture for AAPL appears to show that it has completed wave 3 and must complete wave 4 before proceeding upwards - typically one of the most likely targets for wave 4 is the price range of wave iv of lesser degree, which in this case would give a target of at most 200.

Moreover, an equality projection of wave a of 4 from the (possible) end of wave b of 4 (this does not look like an equality projection due to the log scale) suggests that wave 3 could retrace as much as 78.6% of its length. An alternative 0.382 projection from wave b would also form confluence with the 0.5 retracement of wave 3, giving an alternative target of 329-340. A look at the daily chart shows wave 4 apparently subdividing into 5,3,5, (the first 5 and 3 look to have completed) suggesting a sharp zigzag correction with further downside.

As this is an Elliott pattern that lacks any triangles or wedges, features that improve the objectivity of wavecounts, i would advise caution when applying this idea - I will personally not be shorting based on this pattern, but I will certainly be keeping my eyes peeled for buying opportunities next year.
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.