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APPL: A Bubble in the Making

infinite_margin 31 months ago
My long term thoughts on AAPL.
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Razvan agreed with this chart, 2012-09-18 06:53:55.782837
sbokov pro agreed with this chart, 2012-09-18 08:55:06.389366
FXGOD agreed with this chart, 2012-09-18 09:53:21.003974
charttrader pro agreed with this chart, 2012-09-18 17:48:50.659792
mcsleepy agreed with this chart, 2012-09-18 17:56:02.280740
charttrader pro 2012-09-18 17:57:19.167229
Great analysis, thank you for sharing! So where is the theoretical top?
infinite_margin 2012-09-18 21:51:14.046772
It's hard to say at this point. We can use some simple math with the rule of 70 to figure out its annual growth rate: Dt= doubling time. Dt=2 years. 70/2=35% annual growth rate. When we see the slope of the chart start to plateau annual growth rate should decrease significantly. When this happens, I expect the market will overreact and a sell off will ensue and eventually stabilize. It's hard to pin point a top with a growth rate of 35% per year. If I had to make any sort of guess, I'd imagine 800 is in the works at some point during 2013.
NAPit agreed with this chart, 2012-09-18 18:29:34.319920
4mm4 agreed with this chart, 2012-09-18 19:02:50.733959
jackmilburn agreed with this chart, 2012-09-23 00:06:33.558435
ChartsBuzz agreed with this chart, 2012-10-11 02:33:24.446610
ChartsBuzz 2012-10-11 02:37:41.511680
well done infinite_margin ! the growth was exceptional, Steve Jobs' vision incredible, but as you said, exponential growth will never last forever, even though a company can be very profitable for a long time (as in Microsoft)... but this "flagstick" price action will soon come to an end. Shorting might be too aggressive (perhaps for a quick buck), but longs should really take (at least largely) profit. totally agree to your call !
infinite_margin 2012-11-08 09:53:46.997515
1 month later... down 20% from highs...
Dopam 2012-11-08 09:54:54.571877
excellent charting
Dopam 2012-11-08 09:54:55.021619
excellent charting