Adv. Market Geo Interplay Eyes 95.209 | $AUD $JPY #RBA #BOJ $USD

FX:AUDJPY   Australian Dollar / Japanese Yen
493 12 12
Last April 15th, I posted a highly speculative interplay of geometries, wherein a dominant geometry (II) would support the rallying of price from its Point-3 (grey), invalidating III             and supporting I - Posted as of the origin of the orange, dashed arrow.

Price held its tack so far, invalidating III             and continuing adding credence to I - The overall expectation here is a reversal via an ectopic Point-5 pertaining to the smaller geo             (I), and corroborating with II's Point-4, whose current residence remains highly speculative.

However, based on structural analysis, one can generally aim for a reasonable range, which is defined here from 95209 to 95.641.

Just released to Twitter/LinkedIn:
$AUDJPY: Speculative geo             . interplay remains intact as price continues to rise to Pt-4:

$AUD $JPY $RBA $BOJ #forex

David Alcindor
Predictive Analysis & Forecasting
Denver, Colorado - USA


David Alcindor

David Alcindor
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This is superb analysis...Thank you for sharing your ideas and knowledge!
+1 Reply
Hi David, please have a look.
+1 Reply
4xForecaster HamedAghajani
Hello @HamedAghajani - I can't see very well; too many colors/lines - I see the rising 1-3 Line and a possible 5'. If so, then Off-Set Rule would dictate a reversal to a price level corresponding to Point-4.

I will post a chart for a cleared picture.

+1 Reply
HamedAghajani 4xForecaster
Thanks, I chose the bigger picture to show
1) 0.618 Retracement of the bearish leg at 97.70
2) 1.618 retracement of the 1-2 leg of WW at 97.45
3)1.618 retracement of the 3-4 leg at 97. 43
+1 Reply
HamedAghajani HamedAghajani
+1 Reply
4xForecaster HamedAghajani

Here is what comes to sight:

1 - Your Geo is reproduced in the field with its plots. As a 5-prime is not completely drawn out, a reversal to the zone defined at the level of Point-4 remains a possibility versus a 1-4 Line (less probable)

2 - As defined before, in the IDEAL condition (so, not an absolute requirement), the 1-2 Line is composed of a symmetrical ab = cd.

Since my predictive model suggests that further, but limited upside exists, I decided to look at the possible residence of a Point-3 slightly ABOVE the point-a of the possible symmetrical ab = cd.

If such a level was indeed attained, it would mark a Point-3 of the larger Geo, corresponding to a Point-5 of your smaller Geo, and a reversal to the level of your Geo's Point-4 would correspond to the larger Geo's Point-4, all of which remains highly speculative at this point, but the narrative of this development is plausible.

+3 Reply
iefan 4xForecaster
1 OCT 2015


Hi David

Is this pair ready for an extended rally? See charts please
+1 Reply
@iefan - Yes, I have been on a LONG for some time now, based on the DAILY Geo's 5' validation o the BLACK, but corresponding to Point-3 of the BLUE. Exit is near 93.23, as price may bring a soft slope to the 2-4 ine o fthe BLACK geometry ... Long haul sort of trade, but I'm okay with slow profit earning savings such as these ones.

+2 Reply
HamedAghajani 4xForecaster
My concern was if the identification is correct?
+1 Reply
4xForecaster HamedAghajani
@HamedAghajani - Yes, the gist of the price action is there, so you correctly identified a pattern whose outline corresponds to that of a WW.

However, the internal price action is what I have tended to look into, much like looking at a breed's DNA. For this reason, I established specific rules for myself that represent ideal conditions, such as the symmetrical ab = cd for the 1-2 Leg, and an idealized Elliott Wave Triple-ZZ, or W-X-Y-XX-Z price patterning for the 2-3 Leg, and a set of Fibonacci clusters, as you have already well demonstrated in your chart.

At this point, your Geo is as good as it can be, except for the lack of a symmetry at the 1-2 Leg, which (again) is not required, but idealized.

Very nice, @HamedAghajani!

+3 Reply
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