justatrader

AUDUSD - Employment data comparison (April 2014)

FX:AUDUSD   Australian Dollar/U.S. Dollar
337 2 5
How would it be if one were to trade purely on unemployment data? This chart shows some of the past comparison between the Aussie and US labour statistics and some very interesting trade opportunities.

The top block is for Aussie the lower block is for the USD. By just comparing the employment data of these two currencies , we can see how fundamentals set the currency path's direction.

When one of the two was extremely bullish and the other extremely bearish , the low of the Aussie employment day gave a great RR short trade. This worked twice when the trend was bearish . Jan data, price didn't retrace to the low. We could think of this as a change of trend. In Feb, despite bearish fundamentals, price was hovering above the low created by the Aussie employment data. Despite that, the low of that day yet again gave a great RR overall.

So, currently, we have the high of last Aussie empl. data at 0.91. So keep this price level in mind if shorting.

If Aussie data is extremely bullish (against the already weak US employment data) then we can expect 0.95 to be hit ahead or close to May 9th data.
Professional market analyst with a keen interest on futures. Love keeping an eye on the markets. Currencies, bonds, commodities. Combining technical analysis and the fundamentals. Contact me for more details.
maccabean
2 years ago
Nice Work!
Reply
Thanks. Will update the chart tomorrow with a possible trade idea. EURAUD though looks like is giving much better prospects in terms of the already existing shorts based off prev. H&S pattern.
Reply
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