Why im think what this count could be valid?
1) Check google trends. No new ppl incoming. (almost no correlation with price)
2) Check 1W . No increasing there.
3) Hardcore distribution of minng hardware (called "miners pump")
4) Same halvening scenario as in litecoin
5) Mtgox is dead. Willybot is dead. Who will pump this?
Remember. Its just concept. Im waiting for significant signals to play this count