Sawcruhteez

Bitcoin Daily Update (day 334)

BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
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Consensio: P > S EMA > M EMA > L EMA (rolling up) = fully bullish

Patterns: Phase 7 Hyperwave | A&E
Horizontals: R: $4,259 | Will $4,113 become support?
Trendline: at $4,500
Parabolic SAR: $3,656
Futures Curve: Spot < March > June
BTCUSDSHORTS: New local low. Next support at 17,000. If that breaks down target would be 10,000
Funding Rates: Longs pay shorts 0.0008%
TD’ Sequential: G8 | TDST = $4,275
Ichimoku Cloud: Just got bullish kumo twist. Very interesting how that happened at ~ the same time as the 50 EMA rolling up.
Relative Strength Index: 77
Average Directional Index: Weekly is getting close to turning bullish. 3D just did it.
Price Action: 24h: +5% | 2w: +13.5% | 1m: +16.8%
Bollinger Bands: 3D closed above top band. Love the Daily getting stuck to the top band.
Stochastic Oscillator: Bullish recross > 80.

Summary: Now is the time to be very careful. If you went long over the past week then now is the time to adjust stop losses, if you haven’t already. I have moved my stop losses on ETH and BTC well into the profit and that is a very good feeling.

If you did not long over the past couple weeks and want to now then ask yourself why? Are you getting a great setup to enter or are you feeling emotional / FOMO?

The 200 W EMA is rolling over and is currently being tested for resistance. It has held strong since November of 2018. Even if we do get through that area then there is a bear TL and 200 D EMA waiting directly above. If we can get through those areas then the volume profile indicates a high probability of returning to $6,000.

If not in a position then I would not be entering long now. We are overbought, on a green 8 at major resistance. If it were me then I would stay on the sidelines and look for signs of exhaustion and be ready to enter shorts. I do think this bounce still could have some room to go but there is no way I would feel comfortable entering a swing trade now.

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