zerocashcool

Bitcoin: Nison - PB&J Short Signals

Short
zerocashcool Updated   
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
Bitcoin: Nison - PB&J Short Signals

Bitcoin hit Pivots Target R1/R2 and began it's reversal in the form of two High Wave Candles ("The market is confused" - Nison) followed by a bearish Engulfing Pattern on DeMark Sell Setup 7/9. The high reached just under $65,000, achieving $64,895.22.

The market fell and SMA 10 / EMA 30 Dead Crossed on DeMark Buy Setup 8/9. Candles 7, 8, & 9 found support in the $47,555 area, with the DeMark Perfected Buy Setup 9 candle reversing off of TDST support.

Drawing a Fibonacci Retracement from the Low to the High, we see that price has bounced into the PB&J short Sweet Spot between SMA 10 / EMA 30 after a Dead Cross, at 61.80% Fibonacci resistance.

If today's candle closes as a bearish candlestick reversal signal such as a Doji (maybe, indicating that "The market is tired" - Nison), Dark Cloud Cover, Bearish Engulfing Pattern, or Evening Star, this would give a short signal per candlestick analysis.

Short: Bearish candlestick reversal pattern (candle close)
SL: Above 50% Fibonacci level and EMA 30
T1: Above 78.60% Fibonacci level
T2: Above Hammer support
T3: Above Monthly Pivots S2 support
T4: Above 127.20 Fibonacci level and Hammer support

T1: 51,300
T2: 47,600
T3: 45,050
T4: 43,500

Note: If you don't rigorously follow a risk management strategy, don't short markets.

Comment:
Update:
Bulls attempted their final bullish reversal in the form of a Hammer within the PB&J Sweet Spot. The Hammer was off of EMA 30 with higher volume than the prior candle, making it a Shadow-30 PB&J pattern. Horizontal support has been broken and TD Sequential 3/9 suggest falling prices until approximately April 30 18:00 UTC+2. Short position opened with targets near $49,600-$47,555.

Comment:
Stop Loss moved above Daily Evening Star resistance.
Comment:
It's funny how there are good arguments for both short and long positions. I'm still strongly leaning bearish based on the Weekly chart and I think longs will find out soon, but it could really go either way.
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.