The long term market really started around January 14th with the line cross. Since then there have been multiple belly down clouds.
Most recently on Feb. 7th there was a strong support violation with prices strongly breaking the back of the belly up cloud at the time. This lead to the most recent cloud cross over and dropping of the cloud by about $70 USD.
belly down cloud now continues it's formation on the H4 chart with a lag line that is currently trading 11% below the historic market.
There are no long term signs yet of the market ending.