Hello fellas, welcome back to the technical analysis of bitcoin here. Let's get it started.
We've seen a huge rejection of almost 3% from the peak of February 3rd candle which produce a type of shooting star with a wick to the down side. And because the 4 hours candle has closed with this type of candle, a lot of trader has predicted the potential bearish bias as a reversal pattern for bitcoin. But, for me I don't think that the reversal will occur in the near future, and here I acknowledge you my arguments for it.
1. We haven't seen any type of bullish divergence on RSI yet. The RSI still forming a higher high structure until now.
2. The MACD histogram on 4 hours chart is still ticking down in the negative side and I haven't seen any sign of lower high on the histogram just yet.
3. If we assume this as the ending diagonal of wave C with an expanding pattern, the 5th wave must be over extended and is likely to touch the upper line of this diagonal.
4. The upper line of the diagonal wave is having a confluence with the 1.618 fibonacci extention. From this, I classify e the green area as the potential liquidation zone for the short.
Because we see these confluence reasons for the bitcoin, I expect the price to have a spike up 1 more time before the huge downside move. Good luck
We've seen a huge rejection of almost 3% from the peak of February 3rd candle which produce a type of shooting star with a wick to the down side. And because the 4 hours candle has closed with this type of candle, a lot of trader has predicted the potential bearish bias as a reversal pattern for bitcoin. But, for me I don't think that the reversal will occur in the near future, and here I acknowledge you my arguments for it.
1. We haven't seen any type of bullish divergence on RSI yet. The RSI still forming a higher high structure until now.
2. The MACD histogram on 4 hours chart is still ticking down in the negative side and I haven't seen any sign of lower high on the histogram just yet.
3. If we assume this as the ending diagonal of wave C with an expanding pattern, the 5th wave must be over extended and is likely to touch the upper line of this diagonal.
4. The upper line of the diagonal wave is having a confluence with the 1.618 fibonacci extention. From this, I classify e the green area as the potential liquidation zone for the short.
Because we see these confluence reasons for the bitcoin, I expect the price to have a spike up 1 more time before the huge downside move. Good luck
