BTC Break of structure (BOS) follow my structure down to $76000

✅ 1. Market Structure (1D Timeframe)
My chart shows:
🔹 Lower Low (LL) recently formed
This confirms bearish structure, since before that we had a Higher Low (HL). The LL breaks the bullish trend.
🔹 Multiple Shooting Stars at the top
This shows strong distribution (smart money selling).
The rejection near 126k was the macro top.
🔹 BOS (Break of Structure) at ~98,186
I marked this correctly.
Breaking this level initiates a new bearish cycle.
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✅ 2. Trendline Break (Big Signal)
My long-term ascending trendline (TL) was broken decisively with a strong bearish candle.
This is a major indication of:
• Bullish trend ending
• Smart money exiting
• Bearish continuation expected
A retest of the trendline may happen, but usually after a TL break, BTC continues lower for weeks.
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✅ 3. Current Price Action (95,447 area)
Price is sitting inside my red supply/consolidation zone, which aligns with:
• Prior HL
• BOS level
• Strong liquidity zone
This is why I see consolidation — market is deciding whether to:
A) Retest the TL again (short-term up)
or
B) Continue dumping toward demand below
Given my structure: B is more likely.
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🟥 4. Bearish Scenario (Most Likely)
This follows my dotted projection and makes sense with the chart.
BTC likely does:
1. Small bounce to retest 98,000 – 100,000
o This is BOS retest
o This is supply
o This is also TL retest zone
o This is where sellers reload
2. Failure to break TL → major drop begins
3. First stop:
88,000 – 84,000 Consolidation Zone
This is a major liquidity zone.
4. Final target:
🎯 77,000 (my TP is correct)
or even wick to:
🎯 74,500 (liquidity)
Why 77k target is logical:
• High timeframe demand zone
• Big imbalance to fill
• Previous consolidation
• Measured move from top → aligns perfectly
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🟩 5. Bullish Scenario (Low Probability)
For BTC to flip bullish again:
1. Must reclaim 98,186 BOS
2. Must close above 100,000
3. Must break back inside the trendline
Only then bullish continuation to:
📈 106,000
📈 118,500 SL zone
But currently price is below BOS + below TL, so bullish scenario is only 25–30% likely.
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⭐ 6. Big Summary (Easy to Read)
✔ Trend: Bearish
✔ Structure: Lower Low (LL) confirmed
✔ Trendline: Broken → Bears in control
✔ BOS: Below 98k → bearish continuation
✔ Short-term: Bounce to 98k possible
✔ Mid-term: Drop to 88k–84k
✔ Final Target: 77k → 74.5k
My TP (77,000) is accurate and realistic.