Brent update Brent could not beat ist longterm downtrend!
After Iran testified, that it will perhaps double its production, brent only made one direction: downwards!With prices below the last valid "2" @ 62,5$ brent leaves his middleterm uptrend (green) behind and reentries
in its longterm downtrend.
As Long Brent is trading below 63,5$, the risk continuing to drop increases massively:
The logically inferable target of the longterm downtrend is
a.) 52,3$
b.) 45$
If Brent could sustainable snatch back the Level @ 63,5$ , the technical Situation relaxes
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Former Analysis ( www.tradingview.com/...-longterm-downtrend/ )
i wrote: After the massive sell-off from 116$ t o 45$ Brent could recover at $72 to almost the 0.38 Fibo-Retracement. (Red 123er-counting)
The recovery formed a short-medium term uptrend (green channel) (orange 123er counting)
-At the Moment Brent is near the bottom of the mentioned upward channel and is retesting the former breakout level @ $ 64. This level should be supportive.
-If the trend lower edge will be bought again the first technical shortterm target is the last high and the EMA 200 @ 70$. Should this resistance fall, it can be assumed that the price will move in the direction of the trends top edge @ 80$. (orange "2?") That level coincides with the Middle-Fibo target the entire downward movement. (50% correction)
-Will Brent break through its support @ 61-64$ is attributed with a test of the recent lows around $ 52,5.
- Will this Support also break, it needs to be reckoned with a test of the lows at 45$
-Under $ 45 is likely to win the downward movement momentum and lead to massive and rapid course fees. The red count would then be applied again.
In the long-term picture, the recovery appears to be a kind of downward flag, which is triggered by falling below the $ 45 mark 52 respectively.
After Iran testified, that it will perhaps double its production, brent only made one direction: downwards!With prices below the last valid "2" @ 62,5$ brent leaves his middleterm uptrend (green) behind and reentries
in its longterm downtrend.
As Long Brent is trading below 63,5$, the risk continuing to drop increases massively:
The logically inferable target of the longterm downtrend is
a.) 52,3$
b.) 45$
If Brent could sustainable snatch back the Level @ 63,5$ , the technical Situation relaxes
If you like my analysis and find it useful, please take a second and hit the LIKE button and follow me. It takes some time to create these posts and your LIKES let me know it is helpful to you. As always, any comments are welcome. Agree or disagree.
Former Analysis ( www.tradingview.com/...-longterm-downtrend/ )
i wrote: After the massive sell-off from 116$ t o 45$ Brent could recover at $72 to almost the 0.38 Fibo-Retracement. (Red 123er-counting)
The recovery formed a short-medium term uptrend (green channel) (orange 123er counting)
-At the Moment Brent is near the bottom of the mentioned upward channel and is retesting the former breakout level @ $ 64. This level should be supportive.
-If the trend lower edge will be bought again the first technical shortterm target is the last high and the EMA 200 @ 70$. Should this resistance fall, it can be assumed that the price will move in the direction of the trends top edge @ 80$. (orange "2?") That level coincides with the Middle-Fibo target the entire downward movement. (50% correction)
-Will Brent break through its support @ 61-64$ is attributed with a test of the recent lows around $ 52,5.
- Will this Support also break, it needs to be reckoned with a test of the lows at 45$
-Under $ 45 is likely to win the downward movement momentum and lead to massive and rapid course fees. The red count would then be applied again.
In the long-term picture, the recovery appears to be a kind of downward flag, which is triggered by falling below the $ 45 mark 52 respectively.
