CRInvestor

DX1! - Monthly projection into fear cycle peak

ICEUSA:DX1!   U.S. Dollar Index
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During our google             chat this evening we took a look at the monthly US dollar index             chart and where it may be heading into the fear cycle peak of Q3'17. 40 area looks very interesting...
ForceFollower
2 years ago
So, it looks like you're looong-term bearish.
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CRInvestor PRO ForceFollower
2 years ago
We are currently 14.25 years into the 17.5 year 'fear' cycle (http://www.therationalinvestor.ca/seminars/sem_images/GreedFearCycle.bmp), Through this part of the generational cycle there is a general distaste for 'paper' assets and the US Dollar index is the ultimate proxy for paper assets. As this chart details, I will be looking for a climactic end to that cycle somewhere around Q3'17. After which, I will turn into a US Dollar bull for the next 17.5 years. So, to address your point, yes for the next 3.5 years I am bearish of the US dollar generally and all 'paper' asset proxies specifically...
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ForceFollower CRInvestor
2 years ago
Thank you for your long-term perspective.
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