CRInvestor

DX1! - Monthly projection into fear cycle peak

ICEUSA:DX1!   U.S. Dollar Index
157 3 3
During our google             chat this evening we took a look at the monthly US dollar index             chart and where it may be heading into the fear cycle peak of Q3'17. 40 area looks very interesting...
So, it looks like you're looong-term bearish.
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CRInvestor PRO ForceFollower
We are currently 14.25 years into the 17.5 year 'fear' cycle (http://www.therationalinvestor.ca/seminars/sem_images/GreedFearCycle.bmp), Through this part of the generational cycle there is a general distaste for 'paper' assets and the US Dollar index is the ultimate proxy for paper assets. As this chart details, I will be looking for a climactic end to that cycle somewhere around Q3'17. After which, I will turn into a US Dollar bull for the next 17.5 years. So, to address your point, yes for the next 3.5 years I am bearish of the US dollar generally and all 'paper' asset proxies specifically...
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ForceFollower CRInvestor
Thank you for your long-term perspective.
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