today just before the ECB press conference I posted a chart where I stated to buy the dollar index
(or short EURUSD
for that matter). Not only structure pointed into this direction but also ask yourself what is Draghi going to do that brings the Euro
higher? We are in a deflationary environment and Central Bankers are losing control (or already lost control). We can go on and on what this means for the 4 major asset classes and where the money will flow to but we should all be warned that fear will enter the market which means money will flow into safe havens like the dollar. I therefore consider a long term bottom for the dollar. It is not confirmed yet and anything is possible but sooner or later the Dollar trend will continue and I believe that will rather be sooner than later. Once we see the crash in the global indices we will see another round of Dollar strength. However we don't know when this happens and I see some more room to the upside for the US indices first. But the responses in the Forex market will get more extreme and that's the time you want to look for buying safe haven currencies like the dollar. My Dollar index
is therefore very bullish
. This doesn't mean we can't go down anymore but if you entered as mentioned in the post of earlier today you can bring stop to break even, use 50% for intra-day targets and let the rest run long term.