According to my statistical evidence, the odds of retracement, in this case, are as follows:
a) to the 23.6% level - at about 85%
b) to the 32.6% level - at about 80%
c) to the 41.6% level - at about 60%.
So, it's not as likely we'll see 1.4800 as it is with 1.4900. But it's still more than 50% - I've had more cases of price reaching such a target than not.