FX_IDC:EURGBP EURO / POUND STERLING
Since the summer of 2013, I've maintained a stance on the EURGBP cross as I correctly anticipated the central bank divergence theme (article in French : http://bit.ly/1AqJJ5G). Back in December, I indicated that this pair could reach £0.72 with a break of the 2012 lows. This target is almost reached, and I will be watching the euro for the first signs of a corrective bounce around £0.725/0.7200 in March. I am aware that even with such a correction, the fundamentals will remain quite , especially given that markets seem to have started pricing back in a BOE rate hike in 2016 after the quarterly report published back in February. Nevertheless, I can't help but notice the 1998 and 2003 highs (£0.7025-0.7240) that was a key resistance before December 2007. I'll be focusing on short-term price action within this zone in March, and any reversals on the may represent long setups to target perhaps as far up as £0.755. That said, if the anticipated correction is overall week with more of a range that sets in, I might end up coming back to the short side given the long-term fundamentals. A monthly close below £0.70 would suggest even more downside potential all the way to £0.653 (2007 lows).