ICmarkets

EUR/GBP: Technical outlook and review.

FX:EURGBP   Euro / British Pound
1
4hr TF

The higher-timeframe picture resembles the following:

• Weekly TF: A small spike above the weekly decision-point area has been seen at 0.80328-0.79780, this spike above has likely cleared some of the sellers out indicating the path north to around weekly supply above at 0.81397-0.80805 is relatively free.

• Daily TF: A spike (0.80351) above daily supply at 0.80328-0.80024 has been seen, this spike has likely stopped out a lot of sellers attempting to fade the area. With these sellers consumed, price is very likely free to move up to the next area of interest around the daily S/R flip level at 0.80809. However, before this happens, do be prepared for decline in value back down to daily demand at 0.78862-0.79206 at least, since pro money may not have the required liquidity (sell orders for their buys) for a push further up just yet.

There were clearly some very active sellers around the 4hr supply area at 0.80264-0.80133, which has slammed price back down deep into a 4hr S/D flip area at 0.79792-0.79689.

With the daily timeframe suggesting prices may decline further before a rally higher is seen, we have to be prepared for a break below the aforementioned 4hr S/D flip area, which will likely push price down to around the 4hr demand level at 0.79189, where history has proven this to be a valid level to buy off of. However, the same still stands as the last analysis, only with a different high, if we see a rally higher from here, and we see a break above the high 0.80266 marked with a red circle, then there’s very little stopping price from hitting the 4hr supply area at 0.80619-0.80409. Here’s why, The wick/high seen at 0.80351 marked with a green arrow likely cleared most of the remaining sellers around the supply area marked with a black circle at 0.80309, meaning there is very little to stop price hitting the aforementioned 4hr supply area, where we currently have a pending sell order ready and waiting at 0.80387.

Pending/P.A confirmation levels:

• No pending buy orders (Green line) are seen in the current market environment.
• New P.A confirmation buy levels (Red line) are seen just above a 4hr demand level (0.79189) at 0.79215. The reason for setting a P.A confirmation buy level, and not a pending buy order is simply because this level has seen a touch already indicating some of the buyers may have been consumed, thus weakening this area, hence the need for confirmation on this one.

• Pending sell orders (Green line) are seen just below 4hr supply (0.80619-0.80409) at 0.80387. The reasoning for placing a pending sell order here is simply because the momentum from the supply base was very good, and this area remains fresh.
• No P.A confirmation sell levels (Red line) are seen in the current market environment.

• Areas to watch for buy orders: P.O: No pending buy orders are seen in the current market environment. P.A.C: 0.79215 (SL: Dependent on price action after the level has been confirmed TP: Dependent on approaching price action after the level has been confirmed).

• Areas to watch for sell orders: P.O: 0.80387 (SL: 0.80648 TP: Dependent on how price approaches) P.A.C: No P.A confirmation sell levels are seen in the current market environment.


IC Markets is an online forex broker specialized in providing transparent trading solutions to both retail and institutional investors alike. We provide superior execution technology, lower spreads and unrivaled liquidity.
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.