Carl_G

EURUSD FORECAST

Short
Carl_G Updated   
FX:EURUSD   Euro / U.S. Dollar
So, EUR/USD the worlds most traded pair, where is it heading?
The chart above represent a possible outcome of the current market as USD is expected to gain a lot more than it already have during the course of this year, and probably the next year too. Question is, where is the ideal spot to get in on this upcoming massive move to the downside? Before adding further long-term position I would personally wait for the 1.150 yearly resistance to get tested, any close above would indicate that EUR is heading higher before dropping further down in to the Mariana Trench. However this seems very unlikely (but not impossible) in regards to the correlation with gold. A close below $1179 in gold would confirm that USD is heading higher and that gold will reach lower lows, lower than $1000 to be more precise. Both gold and EUR/USD is currently somewhat close to their primary MIDAS resistance curves and a clear decisive bearish reaction to these curves would indicate that the bears are taking back control. Once a bearish reaction have been qualified in form of a clear strong close below the T-Line (on the daily time frame or even better, the weekly) the risk of a bullish move dramatically decreases so it is safe to say that as long as price is trading below the T-Line and most importantly the R1 curve = stay short. Why the T-Line? The T-Line (or Trigger Line) is the 8 EMA which is the most accurate EMA when it comes to capturing the most CURRENT trend in the market, a clear decisive break of the T-Line would indicate a change in investor sentiment. A clear close above the R1 curve together with a clear close above the yearly resistance and you want to be out of the trade faster than a young man is climbing out of the window when her dad opens the door and finds out that he have been sleeping with his daughter.
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.