Daily Timeframe: Yesterday saw the Euro take out daily demand at 1.1045-1.1127. This consequently drove the market south into a daily swap area seen below at 1.1016-1.0952 (located just within the weekly demand area mentioned above at 1.0760-1.0988).
4hr Timeframe: The latest coming in from the 4hr timeframe reveals that price closed below the mid-level number 1.1050, which, subsequently, saw price viciously spike north up to a 4hr decision-point supply area seen at 1.1114-1.1143 (this move was likely a result of negative unemployment numbers coming out of the US). Following this, price continued south down to the 1.1000 psychological threshold, where, at the time of writing, supportive pressure is currently being seen.
With all of the above taken into account, we feel that the Euro is trading in oversold territory at the moment and could be ready for a bounce higher. Nevertheless, before this happens, we feel there’s a good chance that price will challenge the 1.1000 level once more, although this time we expect a push deeper to be seen, thus taking out more stops i.e. sell stops (liquidity) for pro money to buy into.
With that said, our team’s main focus in this market today will be to watch how price behaves if a retest of 1.1000 is seen. However, please do keep in mind that we have the mighty NFP release later on, which, as you probably know, could distort any technical signal seen, so do trade cautiously.
Current buy/sell orders:
• Buy orders: 1.1000 (Predicative stop-loss orders seen at: dependent on where one confirms this level).
• Sell orders: Flat (Predicative stop-loss orders seen at: N/A).