- Jefferies International Ltd. (based on Bloomberg)
EUR/USD neared the 2016 uptrend line at 1.0925 on Friday and managed to stay afloat above this key support. We are closely watching all developments around this demand, while any failure is highly likely to result in a drop down to the monthly at 1.0841, which is reinforced by the first weekly support 11 pips from the North. On the side of the bears, daily technical studies are mostly pointing to the downside this Monday morning. In the meantime, a spike past 55-day (1.0969) should re-expose 200/20-day SMAs at 1.1045.
SWFX traders are holding a minimal two pp advantage over the bears for a second day in a row. Adding to that, about 55-58% of all pending commands are set to sell the Euro versus the Greenback.