I think the focal point for 2016 is the uncertainties of the US general elections, balance by the Brexit vote (which helps limit the EURO rise)
Having said that, major US policies such as increasing interest rates, may be put on hold (I.e. This coming December decision)
US trade figures are not impressive, but much better from previous administration.
Just don't go to war, which would means more spending and oil usage (tanks, aircraft and missiles don't run on electric or hydrogen).