QuantitativeExhaustion
Long

FB Cup and Handle Continuation, $46 Breakout

BATS:FB   FACEBOOK INC
2301 26 21
I don't think Cramer will get his $23 FB             .
Cramer discussed 4 charts, and he thinks these 4 stocks, which form the acronym FANGs, are the new tech stocks to watch. Facebook             ( FB             ) has a ceiling of resistance at $32, and if it pulls back to $23, Cramer would buy, since FB             is showing a bullish cup and handle formation. Amazon ( AMZN             ) has roared out 10% from its head and shoulders formation. If the stock goes below its support of $250, it might be worth buying, particularly if it drops to $215. Netflix             ( NFLX             ) is in a bullish pennant pattern, but it has had a huge move, and the stock may move sideways for a while. Google             ( GOOG             ) has risen significantly, but may have 10% more upside.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/100436754/Cramer_Does_Your_Portfolio_Have_FANGs

As its name implies, there are two parts to the pattern: the cup and the handle. The cup forms after an advance and looks like a bowl or rounding bottom. As the cup is completed, a trading range develops on the right hand side and the handle is formed. A subsequent breakout from the handle's trading range signals a continuation of the prior advance.

Trend: To qualify as a continuation pattern, a prior trend should exist. Ideally, the trend should be a few months old and not too mature. The more mature the trend, the less chance that the pattern marks a continuation or the less upside potential.
2. Cup: The cup should be "U" shaped and resemble a bowl or rounding bottom. A "V" shaped bottom would be considered too sharp of a reversal to qualify. The softer "U" shape ensures that the cup is a consolidation pattern with valid support at the bottom of the "U". The perfect pattern would have equal highs on both sides of the cup, but this is not always the case.
3. Cup Depth: Ideally, the depth of the cup should retrace 1/3 or less of the previous advance. However, with volatile markets and over-reactions, the retracement could range from 1/3 to 1/2. In extreme situations, the maximum retracement could be 2/3, which conforms with Dow Theory.
4. Handle: After the high forms on the right side of the cup, there is a pullback that forms the handle. Sometimes this handle resembles a flag or pennant that slopes downward, other times it is just a short pullback. The handle represents the final consolidation/pullback before the big breakout and can retrace up to 1/3 of the cup's advance, but usually not more. The smaller the retracement, the more bullish the formation and significant the breakout. Sometimes it is prudent to wait for a break above the resistance line established by the highs of the cup.
5. Duration: The cup can extend from 1 to 6 months, sometimes longer on weekly charts. The handle can be from 1 week to many weeks and ideally completes within 1-4 weeks.
6. Volume: There should be a substantial increase in volume on the breakout above the handle's resistance.
7. Target: The projected advance after breakout can be estimated by measuring the distance from the right peak of the cup to the bottom of the cup.

As with most chart patterns, it is more important to capture the essence of the pattern than the particulars. The cup is a bowl-shaped consolidation and the handle is a short pullback followed by a breakout with expanding volume . A cup retracement of 62% may not fit the pattern requirements, but a particular stock's pattern may still capture the essence of the Cup with Handle.

Chaikin Money Flow ( CMF             ): An oscillator that helps signal if a stock is undergoing accumulation or distribution. It is calculated from the daily readings of the Accumulation Distribution Line. The CMF             is unlike a momentum oscillator in that it is not influenced by the daily price change. Instead, the indicator focuses on the location of the close relative to the range for the period (daily or weekly). See ChartSchool article on Chaikin Money Flow .
http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:glossary_c#chaikinmoneyflow
Great Call here!
Reply
face book has a small cup handle....today....
+1 Reply
gOOD cALL
+1 Reply
Too Soon
+2 Reply
That last chart was amazing! How do you do predict with such accuracy and precision? I want to know how you do this.
+1 Reply
snapshot


Eating Crow herer ... nmike might be right on with FB. I'll add some possible predictions that may help us all with this stock. This is far stretch but possible. For this overall C&H to work and a handle to reach the lip of the cup extended resistance, we will need a smaller inverted H&S to show up in the next few days/weeks.
+2 Reply
QuantitativeExhaustion QuantitativeExhaustion
Now that I look at the overall C&H, a deep handle makes much more sense now. The cup has a more defined u shape, which means handles are more than often deep. If you have more of an ovular shape, handles tend to be shallow or strung along the extended lip of the cups resistance.
+2 Reply
Hear is my charts to explain my previous comments. I think this stock is in dire trouble from technical perspective. 
+1 Reply
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