FxWirePro
Short

GBP/AUD bear travel on verge of 50% fibo, no trace of buying

FX:GBPAUD   British Pound/Australian Dollar
131 0 6
Breaches below crucial supports at 2.0054 and 1.9309 may expose towards 50% retracement, bears can load weights in short as selling momentum is confirmed by leading oscillators.

You see the pair also clears the sloping channel base line that was acted as a baseline from last 6 months or so.

Please be noted that the current prices have slipped below 7 & 21DMAs but within lower BB that signals long term downtrend drag further. So one can very well understand every price jumps would easily be wiped off by selling interests.

Well, on broader perspective, if you observe the better clarity and substantial confirmation of bullish trend reversal after the evidence gravestone doji and hanging man patterns at around 2.1553 and 2.1607 levels on monthly charts that are highly bearish in nature as appeared at peaks of rallies.

Most importantly, it has convincingly broken 38.3% fibonacci retracements after rejecting peaks of 2.2372 levels, bears are probably taking these slumps to 50% fibo levels (i.e. towards 1.8372 levels) sooner or later hopefully in medium terms.

These bearish pattern dojis are an extremely helpful for traders visually to see where resistance and supply is likely located and you can see their effects on daily price dips.

RSI on both daily and monthly converges the robust price dips (daily - below 26 & monthly - below 44), while %D crossover on slow stochastic still maintains even oversold trajectory that is one more signal for bearish momentum to continue in long run.

While no deviation from monthly MACD , the lagging indicator also confirms the downtrend continuation.

Hence, at spot ref: 1.8673 (while articulating) we advocate pinocchio strategy using above/below binary puts with OTM strikes of 25-30 pips for intraday speculators in an ongoing bearish environment that is likely to fetch certain yields as we observe 1D IVs are spiking higher with sky rocketed pace ahead of significant economic event by BoE (which is likely to stand pat in its monetary policy).

When we use such leveraged instruments using ATM strikes that are far more sensitive since higher IV greatly increases their chances of expiring ITM             . So, we think no other strategy would be deemed as more efficient in such vigorous bearish environment as the payoffs would be exponential on winning trade.
Ideas Scripts Chart
United States
United Kingdom
India
España
Italia
Brasil
Россия
Türkiye
日本
한국
Home Stock Screener Economic Calendar How It Works Chart Features House Rules Moderators For the WEB Widgets Stock Charting Library Priority Support Feature Request Blog & News FAQ Help & Wiki Twitter
Private Messages Chat Ideas Published Followers Following Priority Support Public Profile Profile Settings Billing Sign Out