Oztrade

GBPAUD - 4H POTENTIAL CYPHER - ADVANCED PATTERN - AB=CD FIB CON

Long
FX:GBPAUD   British Pound / Australian Dollar
3
Hi All, I wanted to share this potential Long Opportunity we see forming here on GBPAUD, If price gets to this level we have Cypher Pattern completing at our 78.6% which is our D completion.

We also have Fibonacci Confluence with the minor 1.414% Fibonacci Extension from our recent C leg to the low structure after C Leg - or you could say the outside return

We also have a Harmonic move I have drawn in white - AB=CD completion at our Cypher D 78.6%

If we go upwards there is 2 Bearish Bat Patterns I will be watching if we break the first Bat I will post the second one as we get near that level.

When you look at GBPAUD from HTF we appear to have completed some Bullish moves and appear to be in a bearish rotation, we have had a break and close below previous structure, which is our X leg on this Cypher, this tends to lead towards a price continuation to the downside after we see a retrace which we are seeing now.

In saying this we may also see some consolidation with this pair as it competes with buyers and sellers on the other pairs being AUDUSD GBPUSD.

As always traders on Screen we have the technical analysis, entries stops and targets

Green is our Entry Level - STD 78.6% Cypher D completion

Stops are our Minimum level and need to be below

Initial Target 1 - Blue - 38.2% for TP1 and always just below here so we ensure to get filled on targets

Initial Target 2 - Blue - 61.8% for TP2 and always just below here so we ensure to get filled on targets

Second stop to be moved up to our break even entry level when Target 1 is acquired

Targets to be adjusted downwards when we have the D completion - very important

Risk reward is slightly less than 1:1 because we have our T1 just below 38.2% - this is still great for Cypher as we see it often having an inverse R:R on Cypher - but because the win ratio and frequency of these patterns in the market the R:R is not a problem.

If your rules say that it needs to be minimum 1:1 R:R - then maybe you can find a lower entry to better the R:R

Enjoy your trading this week
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