GBP/JPY bears ensure interim upswings stay below 50% Fibos

FX:GBPJPY   British Pound / Japanese Yen
169 0 7
GBP/JPY bears ensure interim upswings stay below 50% Fibos, Downtrend to prolong – Double Touch Options to speculate:

The recent bounces from could not sustain major resistance at 162.702 and 161.702 levels and the prices rejected at this level.

Bears resume after rejecting at major resistance at 162.702 & minor resistances at 161.702 and now at 156.853, as a result, the current price slid well below 7DMA and simultaneously the intermediate buying momentum seems disappeared.

No signs of recoveries as RSI & Stochastic oscillators on daily charts have been signaling still selling pressures again by converging to every price dips.

MACD has remained below zero level which is a bearish territory with bearish crossover.

On monthly plotting, the downtrend has already shown more than 50% Fibonacci retracements, so any minor spikes should not deemed as a reversals, instead use those rallies to deploy long term shorts.

Leading oscillators ( RSI & stochastic ) have been convincingly converging to the major downtrend.

Massive volumes build ups are in conformity to this declining trend.

To substantiate this major downtrend, MACD's bearish crossover, 21EMA crossover 7EMA and since the current prices on monthly charts have slid below EMAs which is still sell signals.

Hence, we uphold the ongoing downtrend to prevail further. At spot ref: 155.196, the trader who believes that this week's economic numbers such as UK’s manufacturing production, UK’s trade balance, BoE’s inflation report and monetary policy and on the flip side, Japanese monetary policy minutes and their current balance would likely weigh GBPJPY             rate.

Trade Tips:

Contemplating above technical reasoning, we could foresee bear swings may resume at any point in time although attempts of upswings above 7DMA we could also see stiff resistance at 21DMA.

Hence, double touch option is useful for traders who believe the price of an underlying asset will undergo a large price movement, but who are unsure of the direction.

Some traders view this type of exotic option as being like a straddle position, since the trader stands to benefit on a calculated price movement up or down in both scenarios.

A trader can use a double one-touch option with barriers at 153.516 and 155.896 to capitalize on this outlook.

In this case, the trader stands to make a profit if the rate moves beyond either of these levels before expiry, and he/she stands to lose the premium if the rate remains within these barriers.

This will end up putting the trader in a position to gain profit from a boost in the asset price or even a decrease.

Usually, it’s wise to manage both sides of a motion when the asset price is shifting around in a changeable manner.
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