Time to go downstairs ?

FX:GER30   DAX Index
197 0 23
For further Details have a look at my former Analysis:

Dax 1-2-3 Short ahead! - Possible target: 9.385

The Alternative szenario of my former Analysis seems to be the sucessful one - the requirement for this alternative Szenario is a market below 9.720 -deciding is the Close price today.
When Dax             drops through the last valid "2" (red 1-2-3 counting), the next downwave can be exspected. The Signal is a very strong signal because it is supported of the SMA200 (used as a longterm sell trigger) which also is based at the same Level.

Former analysis:

The Index has reached the bottom edge of its midterm uptrend since 11.02.2016. At this niveau some buyers joined in the game and the result is, that the index closed 3 days in a row positive.
The shortterm downtrend (10.470-9.730) is still dominant. The Chart will brighten with Prices above 10.200 (above the maximum correction Level, the 61,8 fibo-retracement @ 10.200) Here is also based the SMA 200 as a longterm buying Trigger. If the market could Close above this SMA , i exspect a further upmove to 10.490.On this way up, several resistance zones appear: The fibo retracements 38,2= 10.000 / 0,5 fibo = 10.110/ 61,8% = 10.200.
Should this Szenario get real we perhaps could see a nice 1-2-3 long-setup these days. The reqirement for this Long Setup is, that the index has to Close sustainable above it s 61,8 fibo @ 10.200 and has to cross the last valid "2".
Alternative Szenario: Stoppsell below the last Low at 9.730 with SL @ 10.000 and TP1=9400 / TP2=8800

You just know Elliott wave-countings? Never heared of 1-2-3 counting? Then please have a look at
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