f1l1per.
Long

Trying to catch reversal on Brazilian Index

BMFBOVESPA:IBXL   IBRX 50 Index
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Well, i believe that the dashed green line is a major support. Its a region of plenty RSI's UP MD (historically) and the dailly RSI is reaching the support of up trend. Its also the region of bottom of Wave 4 of the preceding rally. A look at the higher time frames will show that this is in fact a region of reversion, specially reversion from downtrends and corrections. There is a little more fall to occur, and i would watch for minor signals of reversion before a entry ( i may add charts of smaller timeframes in comments sessions) if the prices really reach this region. Targets are showed by green arrows (8,9% first and 11,8% then).

Give a look at my previous related idea on IBXL (https://www.tradingview.com/chart/IBXL/A...).

Technical analysis is a matter of probability, it is not deterministic, i might be wrong, and if i am, i will stand corrected.
Jun 01
Trade active: First try to be long on ibxl. Price did hit the green dashed support and just reversed up. See chart below in comments session.
Jun 02
Comment: white channel will probably work as a resistance (see chart below).
Jun 09
Trade closed manually: Well, none of my targets were reached, but it was a pretty good call anyway. Now i think it will resume correction. Now we have a well defined down channel, which give us more reliable targets.

My perspective for Ibovespa from now on:

Jun 10
Comment: new idea:
Análise aqui é apenas um estudo. Não se trata de recomendação de compra ou venda. Qualquer ponto de entrada, alvos de realização ou stops indicados são, apenas, para avaliar a assertividade da análise.
White channel will probably work as a resistance.
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First try to be long on ibxl. Price did hit the green dashed support and just reversed up. 06/01/2016, 10:28 hrs (NY time zone)
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