Look at correlations, AUDNZD is extremely overbought and all NZD* pairs have been extremely oversold.
Gold's heading up some but oil isn't, or would be very strange if it does...the BoC has been extremely dovish every time they've discussed monetary policy. RBNZ also started turning dovish recently.
I think there are safer pairs to trade. (like usdchf, usdcad, eurusd, gbpchf, gbpnzd, eurnzd)