littleriver

SB1! Sugar is sweetest in June.

ICEUSA:SB1!   Sugar #11
426 29 4
Description is on chart.
Nice find. One thing to note is the symmetry of moves since 2008. Each is about 4 points from low to high, so based on that, price targets can be defined rather nicely. This makes sense as the sugar harvest season begins in June. As to why the was a major top in 2011, I would speculate the weather conditions have changed and resulted in larger supply/demand imbalance... But I'm not a sugar guru, so ill stick to the charts :)

Also, the falling wedge pattern over the past few months appears to back up the potential for the June timeframe to work as in the past.
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littleriver
3 years ago
Thank you MainSt for sharing and thank you JR; your guidance led me to this trade. I imagine sugar supplies are at their lowest right at harvest time too. So, your sugar analysis sounds logical to me.
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QuantitativeExhaustion PRO littleriver
3 years ago
Interesting facts. I'll have to watch sugar, cotton, coffee, palladium, silver and gold. Looks like we are shaping up another commodity bull run similar to 2011.
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littleriver QuantitativeExhaustion
3 years ago
: ) , Like with everything else; I do not have enough money to go around.
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QuantitativeExhaustion PRO littleriver
3 years ago
Which three do you believe will rise the fastest or most in % ?
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littleriver QuantitativeExhaustion
3 years ago
Given the right conditions Gold could double. But 40% in a couple of months would be great.
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littleriver littleriver
3 years ago
How about you?
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QuantitativeExhaustion PRO littleriver
3 years ago
We should have a rise over the next few weeks. However, prices should base near recent lows one more time before the take off. I'm taking a look to see which commodity will do best.
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littleriver QuantitativeExhaustion
3 years ago
Have not really been following but I see I should.
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littleriver QuantitativeExhaustion
3 years ago
I saw where it passed gold last month. Looks like they are about even now. The potential is there for sure. have you done any historical work to see the action as the market moves south?
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littleriver littleriver
3 years ago
You have me curious . I will be checking it out for sure.
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QuantitativeExhaustion PRO littleriver
3 years ago
Since 2009 market lows, both palladium and plantinum have held a higher highs and lower lows. Looks like a wave 4 super is about over and Wave 1 of 5 is about to begin. You don't want to miss Wave 3 of 5 Super. Since Wave 5 of 3 super was extended, wave 3 of 5 super has a greater chance of extending for a parabolic move.
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QuantitativeExhaustion PRO littleriver
3 years ago
snapshot
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littleriver QuantitativeExhaustion
3 years ago
snapshot
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QuantitativeExhaustion PRO littleriver
3 years ago
Yep, already has a head start. Rumor is Russia will have to close the Norlisk Nickle Mine for environmental clean up. This will have palladium and platinum running faster than any other commodity.
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littleriver QuantitativeExhaustion
3 years ago
Thanks for the heads up. Your right I do not want to miss this ride. And i agree we are not to far from it.
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QuantitativeExhaustion PRO littleriver
3 years ago
Environmental problems

The company has a back-catalogue of environmental problems that include:
Ore is smelted on site at Norilsk. The smelting is directly responsible for severe pollution, including acid rain and smog. By some estimates, 1 percent of the entire global emission of sulfur dioxide originates here. Heavy metal pollution in the area is so severe that the soil itself has platinum and palladium content which is feasible to mine.
The pollution originating from Kola division of the company is also affecting Norway which since 1990 has offered financial support to clean up the operation. Due to a number of factors, however, this has not materialized.
2007 - Rosprirodnadzor (Federal Environmental, Industrial and Nuclear Supervision Service of Russia) took water samples in Norilsk as part of the check up. The check up was initiated by the group of the city dwellers who filed the petition claiming deterioration of water quality due to industrial activity of NN branch in this city. Newspaper Kommersant was informed by Oleg Mitvol, the Chairman of Rosprirodnadzor, that results of the water tests were expected to be ready by the end of August. Company official said in their comment that NN spent over 19 bln roubles on environmental activity and 1 billion more will be spent till 2015. When asked by the reporter if Norilsk Nickel can suffer any consequences after the results of the check up, the state official said that he won’t make any promises or predictions.
The environmental problems at Norilsk stretch back over decades, but in the last 10 years when current NN management came to power it did not get much better. Back in 2004 M. Prokhorov claimed that NN will be able to resolve most of ecological problems in the area within 5–6 years. By 2008 this timeline moved to 2011 or 2015.Though NN claims to be socially responsible business and invests into modernization.
Norilsk Nickel has worked consistently to reduce emissions of major air pollutants. In 2006, the company reported investment of more than US $5m to maintain and overhaul its dust and gas recovery and removal systems. It asserts a commitment of nearly US $1.4m for its air pollution prevention plan. However, official statistics state that emissions remain extremely high. In 2006, international non-for-profit organization Blacksmith Institute entitled Norilsk the name of the City of Horror. Norilsk is one of the most polluted places on the Earth. NN wrote a protest letter but state of affairs was left unchanged. Local environmental experts report that that although there have been some reductions in pollution levels, levels of SO2, HS, phenol, formaldehyde, and dust had increased; levels of nickel and copper had increased by 50%. Morbidity rates are stable and death rates are decreasing.
In September Rosprirodnadzor stated that NN significantly exceeds allowed concentrations of polluters in open water reservoirs (river Shuchya, river Novaya Nalednaya and others) located near industrial enterprises of NN objects. Also the agency stated very serious violations of temporary norms for certain polluting substances.
Nevertheless there were no measures taken against NN. In the end of December the company issued a press release on cooperation with Federal Environmental, Industrial and Nuclear Supervision Service of Russia (Rostekhnadzor) and Norilsk Nickel signed a protocol of cooperation with regard to industrial safety and environment protection in the development of the Company’s operations.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Norilsk_Nickel
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littleriver QuantitativeExhaustion
3 years ago
You have to love supply and demand. Though, I just do not see Russia closing it just as prices explode at any cost. From the sounds of it it should have been closed long ago.
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QuantitativeExhaustion PRO littleriver
3 years ago
NN has investments in just about every palladium and platinum mine all over the world.
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QuantitativeExhaustion PRO littleriver
3 years ago
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/7/74/2005platinum_%28mined%29.PNG

Of the 245 tonnes of platinum sold in 2010, 113 tonnes were used for vehicle emissions control devices (46%), 76 tonnes for jewelry (31%). The remaining 35.5 tonnes went to various other minor applications, such as investment, electrodes, anticancer drugs, oxygen sensors, spark plugs and turbine engines
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littleriver QuantitativeExhaustion
3 years ago
I have heard of people stealing catalytic converters off cars in parking lots for the stuff.
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QuantitativeExhaustion PRO littleriver
3 years ago
North American Palladium, Hidden Diamond


Here is the best possible play for both platinum and palladium
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QuantitativeExhaustion PRO QuantitativeExhaustion
3 years ago
I'm thinking we get an extended 3 that will be a run to 8 and 12 shortly thereafter.
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littleriver QuantitativeExhaustion
3 years ago
Now that would be sweet a 10 bagger! I have to say I have never been so fortunate. You have given me much to think about JR. Thank you ! Now I won't sleep.
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QuantitativeExhaustion PRO littleriver
3 years ago
Play L1-2 options.. and you can think about 60 to 150 baggers!
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littleriver QuantitativeExhaustion
3 years ago
Insane! But very possible.......................
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littleriver littleriver
3 years ago
Thanks JR for giving me something to sleep on .......or not .............but I must really turn out the lights.....I will be playing.........
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QuantitativeExhaustion PRO littleriver
3 years ago
Alright.. ttyl
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knock QuantitativeExhaustion
3 years ago
JR, could you educate me what L1-2 options mean? Meanwhile, I checked the option but Jan 14 strike 4 costs same as June 13 strike 2. I wonder if Jan14 is still a good buy? BTW, is it ok to connect with you directly? My email is switchcase at gmail.com
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