Silver choose my Path 1?

COMEX:SI1!   Silver Futures
37 0 2
Just like gold futures             , silver             has the exact same 2 weeks of hammers.
From my previous post, i anticipate 2 scenarios:

Path 1: (50% close to my anticipation)
Price break below 16.40 to clear a bear trap and start to move up. First immediate resistance would be the underside of descending triangle bottom (highlighted blue), and if that proves to be a real resistance, price will continue to fall

Path 2: (which is not happening)
Price continues to fall to red channel bottom
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