We have experienced a strong from 2009 and a very small fake out this year(considering the longer timeframe of 7 years vs 9 months). We resumed long term and will stay in it for quite a while.
Always keep a look out for flat trading (example: 2015 march to 2016 may) because they signal reversals/ very high pushups. Don't wake up the sleeping lion!!
Also look at whether it's making new highs or not. If it doesn't stay out.