Note the best, base and worst case may occur in sequence.
My base case is that 1960 is going to be hit.
Before this happens, SPX may reach 2170 between the 19th of June and the 10th of July.
Once 1960 is reached there are 3 scenarios:
A) Correction is finished and SP500 resumes up.
B) SPX goes deeper to 1900 before a sharp rebound into november 15.
C) SPX rebounds to 2080 and then falls very abruptly (2011 scenario).
My base case is that 1960 is going to be hit.
Before this happens, SPX may reach 2170 between the 19th of June and the 10th of July.
Once 1960 is reached there are 3 scenarios:
A) Correction is finished and SP500 resumes up.
B) SPX goes deeper to 1900 before a sharp rebound into november 15.
C) SPX rebounds to 2080 and then falls very abruptly (2011 scenario).