QuantitativeExhaustion
Short

2013 Best Case Scenero, Worst Case Scenero

AMEX:SPY   SPDR S&P 500 ETF
971 2 9
US Government has run out of time and if the US markets have not peaked already they will soon.

What's on the Agenda for US

1. Fiscal Cliff             Deal/No Deal
most likely action wait till next year.."kick the can"
What's at Risk? ... Credit Rating Warning Feb/Mar

2. 1st Quarter Reported Earnings Results
most likely better than expected

3. US Debt Ceiling
most likely a log jam and Government Shutdown on the table

4. Credit Rating Agencies Cut US AAA status


At best the Federal Reserve and other Central Banks cordinate easing. Inflation with slow growth as usual softens the blow.


Worst case US follows the path of Japan "Japanization" liquidity trap. Zombie banks stop lending and hoard cash to counter continued losses --Hidden risk; Banks (Financial Accounting Standards Board FASB rules ) trillions in losses stemmed from bad loans prior to CDS crash are still on the books; either held by Banks, Central Banks or Govts.(taxpayers).

Fitch Ratings to US: Fix 'fiscal cliff' or risk credit downgrade
http://www.csmonitor.com/Business/Latest-News-Wires/2012/1219/Fitch-Ratings-to-US-Fix-fiscal-cliff-or-risk-credit-downgrade

Nikkei peak: 20-year anniversary
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/8433652.stm

George Lindsay Three (3) Peaks Domed House pattern...
http://thepatternsite.com/3peaksdome.html

Should read: Nikkei not Nikkea
QuantitativeExhaustion PRO QuantitativeExhaustion
3 years ago
Keeping an eye on the DOWT
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