QuantitativeExhaustion
Short

2013 Best Case Scenero, Worst Case Scenero

AMEX:SPY   SPDR S&P 500
972 2 9
US Government has run out of time and if the US markets have not peaked already they will soon.

What's on the Agenda for US

1. Fiscal Cliff             Deal/No Deal
most likely action wait till next year.."kick the can"
What's at Risk? ... Credit Rating Warning Feb/Mar

2. 1st Quarter Reported Earnings Results
most likely better than expected

3. US Debt Ceiling
most likely a log jam and Government Shutdown on the table

4. Credit Rating Agencies Cut US AAA status


At best the Federal Reserve and other Central Banks cordinate easing. Inflation with slow growth as usual softens the blow.


Worst case US follows the path of Japan "Japanization" liquidity trap. Zombie banks stop lending and hoard cash to counter continued losses --Hidden risk; Banks (Financial Accounting Standards Board FASB rules ) trillions in losses stemmed from bad loans prior to CDS crash are still on the books; either held by Banks, Central Banks or Govts.(taxpayers).

Fitch Ratings to US: Fix 'fiscal cliff' or risk credit downgrade
http://www.csmonitor.com/Business/Latest-News-Wires/2012/1219/Fitch-Ratings-to-US-Fix-fiscal-cliff-or-risk-credit-downgrade

Nikkei peak: 20-year anniversary
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/8433652.stm

George Lindsay Three (3) Peaks Domed House pattern...
http://thepatternsite.com/3peaksdome.html

Should read: Nikkei not Nikkea
QuantitativeExhaustion QuantitativeExhaustion
Keeping an eye on the DOWT
Reply
United States
United Kingdom
India
Deutschland
France
España
Italia
Polska
Türkiye
Россия
Brasil
Indonesia
Malaysia
Việt Nam
日本
한국
简体
繁體
Home Stock Screener Forex Signal Finder Cryptocurrency Signal Finder Economic Calendar How It Works Chart Features House Rules Moderators Website & Broker Solutions Widgets Stock Charting Library Feature Request Blog & News FAQ Help & Wiki Twitter
Profile Profile Settings Account and Billing My Support Tickets Priority Support Contact Support Ideas Published Followers Following Private Messages Chat Sign Out