AK " Follow the Money " [FTM] Indicator and trading system

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The following trading system uses the rate of change ( ROC ) between equities and bonds to determine which asset to hold, basically , following the money. The rules are simple :

1. Calculate the 85 day ROC for SPY             and TLT            

2. If ROC ( SPY             ) > ROC ( TLT             ) --> Buy SPY            

3. if ROC ( SPY             ) buy TLT            

Backtest resutls

I coded this in python , and here are the results :

Period : 01/03/2003 to 12/31/2014
Slippage : 0.03 cents


2003 :17.8%
2004 : 2.5%
2005: 1.3%
2006: 8.6%
2007: 3.9%
2008: 23.6 %
2012: 1 %
2013: 24.9%
2014: 6 %

As you can see, the system tends to do very well in bear market, and mix but positive results during bull markets. I use the 85 days because that works for me . you may use a higher are lower number when calculating the ROC .

The code for the indicator is extremely simple, and will be posted a few moment. When the background is Green you buy and vice versa when red


I do trade an alternative version of this system , but this post is strictly for educational purposes only. . Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

if you have any question , leave a comment or PM me , and will try to get back to you as soon as possible.


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