arunkumarvirgo

TESLA down the drain. Fake FSD BS

Short
NASDAQ:TSLA   Tesla

Mollusk under criminal probe due to extensive PR over-hyping of so called FSD, which is a fake BS. Twitter deal going to get finalized. Very high OTM put flow with over 11% OTM expiring this Friday (October 28, 2022).

Google (Waymo) has been researching self driving technology for the past 10+ years with over $10 bn cash injection every year. They couldn't make a proof of concept of Level - 5 autonomy yet because of giant challenges (perception, localization, navigation, appropriate response to unexpected scenarios like a human) which are impossible to solve. All kinds of machine learning methods available in the state-of-the-art, used for training robots need huge amounts of training data (images, videos, etc) of exact scenarios that are to be expected by a robot. That's why you see all those Argo, Waymo cars, etc. every day on the streets making routine data collection trips on the same streets every single day. What if there is a dramatic change in the scenario on a road between two data collections? How good can the generalization of decision-making be when there are very few to none of those scenarios in the previous training data? Relate this statement to all the Tesla crashes under FSD. Any robot (including a self driving car) is 100% manually programmed software (explicit instructions hard coded to tackle different scenarios). There is the problem. How can one imagine/ predict all kinds of unexpected scenarios beforehand when those scenarios would have been never faced by anybody ever before in the history? No scientist has 100% understood the nitty-gritties of every human's brain to judge how will any human behave in any given time. It is simply impossible. Yet the crooked Mollusk claims he understood a pig's brain 100% by attaching some toy probes to its head (Neuralink claim, rebutted vehemently by the scientific community all around the world as a false claim). Self driving means, expecting a wheeled robot (Tesla car) to perform as realistic as a human (literal replacement for a human). Which is by itself deeply flawed because of my previous point (no scientist has understood human brain 100% yet). A Tesla car is truly just a car with some advanced ADAS features. It should never be marketed as anything close to self driving. The FSD claim is simply a blatant lie.

My opinions are not supposed to be your investment advice. Please do your own DD and come to your own conclusions.
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