Granted it is not perfect, however, it is so extremely close to finishing out the cycle that the previous moves must be taken into consideration.
I think it would be wise to pay attention to the looming failure of the Gigafactory...as that only comes into play:
(a) when it's finished, operational, profitable
(b) when more EVs that can utilize its ability are on the roads
(c) depending on (b) of whether or not that happens in the US or even in China (which as of now is NOT likely in 2015)
China is in a pretty significant slow down which TSLA was depending on for an emerging market to keep their momentum in profits/rev. That does not look like it will happen this year. The people that are buying new vehicles in china are buying from classic companies such as GM and Ford....
EU Zone is going to be worthless this year for ANY company to bet on, might as well rip that bandaid off right now.
TSLA also keeps touting that their battery technology will be some saving grace, even if things work out the way they want, the projections for revenue turned into EPS is around $3 by some very notable estimators.
Giving TSLA a swing of...$3, which would do absolutely nothing to hold back a price plummet.
Anyway, keep you eyes on the trend, UO trend, trend, etc.
If those lines cannot be broken by a large movement (sustained) then expect TSLA to flounder through the rest of 2015 and end near $160.
Good opportunity for a short IMO .