Johanes

USDCHF MAY VISIT 0.8750 FOR 15 % WIDTH OF MEDIUM TARGET ZONE

Short
Johanes Updated   
FX_IDC:USDCHF   U.S. Dollar / Swiss Franc
THE FED AND THE SNB MAY MANAGE THE USDCHF TO VISIT 0.8750 FOR 15 % WIDTH OF MEDIUM TERM TARGET ZONE, AND AT SUCH USDCHF WILL MOVE TO DOWNWARD UNTIL THE PAIR REACH 0.8750 OR 15 % WIDTH OF MEDIUM TERM TARGET ZONE AS PERMITTED BY THE MANAGED FLOAT OF INTERNATIONAL MONETARY SYSTEM POLICY. THE 15 % WIDTH OF MEDIUM TERM EXCHANGE RATE TARGET ZONE ON USDCHF IS EQUIVALENT TO THE 15 % WIDTH OF MEDIUM TERM EXCHANGE RATE TARGET ZONE FOR EURUSD MANAGED BY THE FED AND THE ECB.

THE CHF'S DERIVATIVES (NZDCHF, AUDCHF, CADCHF, GBPCHF AND EURCHF) WILL BE FLUCTUATED INTERIOR THE "EXCHANGE RATE TARGET ZONE DIFFERENTIALS" BETWEEN THE USDCHF AND MAJOR PAIRS. THEIR TARGET ZONE DIFFERENTIALS COULD BE MEASURED INDIVIDUALLY BASED ON TARGET ZONE ANALYSIS.

HOWEVER, THE CHF'S DERIVATIVES ARE MOVING IN HARMONY FROM THEIR LOWER MEDIUM TERM BAND/LOWER MEDIUM TERM EXCHANGE RATE TARGET ZONE TO THEIR CENTRAL BANDS/CENTRAL PARITIES FOR 7.5 % TO 8.00 % WIDTH OF SHORT TERM TARGET ZONES OR 50 % FROM MEDIUM TERM TARGET ZONE AS PERMITTED BY MONETARY POLICY. THE DOWNWARD MOVEMENTS HOWEVER COULD BE INTERRUPTED BY THE ADJUSTMENT RATES OF NZDUSD, AUDUSD, CADUSD AND GBPUSD FOR 15 % WIDTH OF TARGET ZONES FROM THE CURRENT WIDTH OF TARGET ZONES. THESE REPRESENTS THE RISKS TO BE MANAGED AND MITIGATED FOR TRADING.

THE ASSESSMENT AND THE MEASUREMENT OF THOSE RISKS BY THEIR EXCHANGE RATE TARGET ZONES' DIFFERENTIALS AND ADJUSTMENT OF RATES ON MAJOR PAIRS FOR 15 % WIDTH OF TARGET ZONES FROM THE CURRENT WIDTH OF TARGET ZONES ARE THE MOST CRUCIAL FOR PLACING THE TRADES.

THE WIDTH OF STOP LOSSES ARE PROFIT FOR COUNTER PARTIES TO TRADES AND THOSE COUNTER PARTIES ARE MAJOR FX MANAGERS OF WORLD'S MOST PROFESSIONAL TRADERS AS COUNTER PARTIES. MISS MANAGEMENT OF THE STOP LOSSES ARE ASSURED TO BE PROFIT FOR COUNTER PARTIES TO TRADE OF WHOM CURRENCY DEALERS IN THE MARKET.
Comment:
TRADE RECOMMENDATION:

SHORT USDCHF AT 0.9525/0.9550
STOP LOSS AT 0.9800
TARGET 0.8750 (775 PIPS)
DURATION: 2-4 MONTHS
RISK TYPE: HIGH RISK (STOP LOSS AT UPPER MONTHLY BAND)

NOTICE

FX TRADING CARRY THE HIGHEST RISK OF INVESTMENT. BOTH TRADERS AND COUNTER PARTIES TO TRADE HAVE DIFFERENT VESTED OF INTERESTS ON THE EXECUTED TRADING POSITIONS. FOR ALL TRADING POSITIONS, WHILST TRADERS LOOK FOR PROFIT FROM THE EXECUTED BUYING OR SELLING (IF WINNING) VERSUS THE COUNTER PARTIES TO TRADE LOOK FOR PRIME SOURCE FOR PROFIT FROM THE “EXECUTED STOP LOSSES” (IF WINNING), A “ZERO SUM GAME”, THE WINNER OR THE LOOSER. NO DOLLARS FOR FREE.

UNDERSTANDING THE COUNTER PARTIES TO TRADE IS ESSENTIAL. THE COUNTER PARTIES TO TRADE ALSO CALLED LIQUIDITY PROVIDERS AND THEY ARE FX PRIME BROKERS OR DEALERS AND WORLD’S LARGEST AND MOST PROFESSIONAL FX MANAGERS (CARRY TRADERS AND MOMENTUM TRADERS). THEY ARE WORLD’S LARGEST BANKS, INVESTMENT BANKS, SECURITY DEALERS AND UNDERWRITERS, CUSTODIAN BANKS, AS WELL AS FX FORECASTERS. THEY ARE SHAREHOLDERS AND SETTLEMENT MEMBERS OF THE CLS BANK, THE SETTLEMENT BANK FOR USD, JPY, EUR, CHF, GBP, CAD, AUD, NZD, KRW, HKD, SGD, ILS, NOK, SEK, DKK, HUF, MXN AND ZAR.
Comment:
PRICE IS MOVING AS EXPECTED
Comment:
THE SWISS NATIONAL BANK (SNB) MAY ALLOW THE USDCHF FOR SUDDEN DROP TO MATCH THE SHIFTING ON THE MEDIUM TERM PRICE STABILITY WIDTH FROM 7.5 % - 8 % TO 15 % + 1 % AS PERMITTED BY THE MONETARY POLICY TO MANAGE THE GLOBAL PRICE STABILITY. THE SUDDEN DROP MAY HAVE LARGE IMPACT ON CHF-DERIVATIVE TO MATCH THEIR STABILITY ON THE 15 % + 1 % WIDTH OF TARGET ZONE.
Comment:
THE MOVEMENT TOO SLOW FOR PROFIT.
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