USDJPY-strong rejection from the 0.61 fib

FX:USDJPY   U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen
1493 18 29
Hello, from my point of view this pair is already on downtrend. We can see the sequence of LH, LL already forming.
This pair likes periods of long-term consolidation and then a strong breakout. My prefered scenario is a breakout to the downside.
Looking at W1 chart we see price is testing a strong level of S/R. We see also a convergence (first lower low) and confirm it on oscillator.

Here on D1 chart we have:

- 0.61 fib retracement
- pinbar showing rejection
- slight divergence on RSI

I would sell here with SL and targets shown on chart. This is a long-term trade.

BE CAREFUL tomorrow with the NFP news.

Best regards.

Always do your own analysis before opening a trade.
Any respectful and constructive ideas are welcome (agree or disagree).
Follow me on Twitter for updates: @fxtrader2000

This was my idea from 9 days ago, missed the long trade but in short now for a re-test of broken range boundary, going good for now...
Hi man, awesome weekly chart (missed it in my analysis now it fully fits my view), thank you!
In my humble opinion, we will reach 0.786 fib where small white c=a in wave (c) of red ((b)). Then down deep! Best, Aibek
This is exactly what happene: Wave B could or will be be completes near 76.8! Great analysis. Lets see if it go short now.
aibek pete_hef
Thanks Pete! Don't be hasty with yen. Wait for daily red candle.
thanks for the analysis, same view.
maybe not.. i think usdjpy will up to 124 first
Hello, could be a deeper pullback. In that case i will try to enter short higher but this area is my prefered. Regards.
Checkmate FullTimeTrader
Totally agree... Same view here...

+1 Reply
Checkmate Checkmate
Please refer to the updated analysis under comments section of this chart...
+1 Reply
Hello, the structure on lower TF is very complex, its is correcting the last decline on D1 chart. I that cases i use other tools such as S/R, convergence-divergence and fibs as you can see on my chart. When publishing a post i always show my PREFERED scenario, SL and targets. The possibilites are many. Regards.
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