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Possible USD/JPY trades into NFP

FX:USDJPY   U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen
US ISM manufacturing activity index fell to 49.9 in August from 52.6 in July, in stark contrast to the recent fed speak ahead of the FOMC this month.

USD/JPY is attempting a minor recovery from early Asian session lows of 103.13, currently trading around 103.36.

The Japanese Yen coming under pressure in the Asian session as the JGB sell-off and the resulting rise in the bond yield weighed.

All eyes now on the crucial non-farm payrolls data ahead of the FOMC meeting later in the month. NFP consensus - 180K, Prior - 255K.

Major trend for USD/JPY is definitely weaker. Only a positive surprise from NFP today could take the pair higher.

Technical Studies:

Supporting downside - Possible shooting star formation, Stochs at overbought, MACD below zero, weak major trend, capped below 55&110 EMAs.

Supporting upside - Strength in RSI at 58, no rollover from o/b zone in Stochs seen, MACD is biased higher.

Major resistance levels - 104.45 (61.8% Fib & trendline), 105, 105.80 (110-EMA).

Major support levels - 103, 102.97 (5-DMA), 102.58 (38.2% Fib).

Trade ideas:

Go long on upbeat data, target 104.45/ 105/ 105.80.

On the flipside, short USD/JPY on NFP data miss, target 102.58/ 102/ 101.41/ 101
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