NFP does not change the trend. Intraday yes, daily no, so on the daily we have this and it looks like a continuation triangle. It will spike higher, but I'm thinking it will fall even if the news is good.
So if they knew the info, or mutual funds, would they try and get the best price before a move? And the best price before a move would be far away from the target. So for me, if price goes up before news, there's a high probability of falling after. Anyway, don't trade today