USDJPY TARGET ZONE: SHORT FOR PROFIT AND TOO RISKY TO LONG
AFTER NOTIFIED BY THE IMF AND OECD, THE FED AND BOJ ADJUST THE PRICE STABILITY OF USDJPY BY MANAGING THE UPPER MEDIUM TERM BAND AT 117.50. THE PAIR IS UNDERWAY TO MOVE TO LOWER MEDIUM TERM BAND ESTIMATED AT 100.00 FOR 1750 PIPS MEDIUM TERM EXCHANGE RATE TARGET ZONE AS PERMITTED BY THE APPLICABLE AGREEMENT. HOWEVER, THE PAIR HAS BEEN STABILIZED LONGER THAN EXPECTED AT 108.50, THE CENTRAL BAND/CENTRAL PARITY FOR OVER +/- 2.25 % AS REGULATED. NONETHELESS, THE PAIR HAS BROKEN THE 108.50 AND WILL CONTINUE TO VISIT THE LOWER MEDIUM TERM BAND OF DOWN-TRENDING MEDIUM TERM TREND.
THE CURRENT SHORT TRADE IS PROFITABLE POSITION TO HOLD TO TARGET:
SHORT USDJPY AT 109.10/109.50
STOP LOSS AT 112.50
TARGET 100.00 (910-950 PIPS)
DURATION: 3-5 MONTHS
RISK TYPE: HIGH RISK (INTERIOR MED. TERM TARGET ZONE)
TIME SERIES ANALYSIS SUGGEST THE CURRENT TRADE COULD BE MANAGED AT RISK FREE BY PLACING THE STOP LOSS TO ENTRY RATE, AND TO HOLD TO TARGET (OR TO BE CLOSED AS POSSIBLE TO BE PREFERRED).
HIGH FREQUENCY TRADES NOT RECOMMENDED FOR USDJPY UNTIL RE-ANALYSIS TO BE UNDERTAKEN ON TIME SERIES CURRENCY BAND.
THE CURRENT SHORT TRADE IS PROFITABLE POSITION TO HOLD TO TARGET:
SHORT USDJPY AT 109.10/109.50
STOP LOSS AT 112.50
TARGET 100.00 (910-950 PIPS)
DURATION: 3-5 MONTHS
RISK TYPE: HIGH RISK (INTERIOR MED. TERM TARGET ZONE)
TIME SERIES ANALYSIS SUGGEST THE CURRENT TRADE COULD BE MANAGED AT RISK FREE BY PLACING THE STOP LOSS TO ENTRY RATE, AND TO HOLD TO TARGET (OR TO BE CLOSED AS POSSIBLE TO BE PREFERRED).
HIGH FREQUENCY TRADES NOT RECOMMENDED FOR USDJPY UNTIL RE-ANALYSIS TO BE UNDERTAKEN ON TIME SERIES CURRENCY BAND.
Comment:
Comment:
Comment:
USDJPY STOP LOSS UP AND DOWN FOR RISK MANAGEMENT.
Comment:
USDJPY PERFORMANCE TOO SLOWER THAN EXPECTED. THIS IS FOLLOWED BY JPY'S DERIVATIVES TO BE SLOWER THAN EXPECTED AND TEND TO ESTABLISH HIGH FREQUENCY BULLISH AND BEARISH INTERIOR THE TARGET ZONES TO OFFER HIGH FREQUENCY TRADES.
Comment:
USDJPY STABILIZED AT CENTRAL PARITY 108.50 FOR 2.25 % (110.70-107.40) AS PERMITTED BY THE INTER-CENTRAL BANKS COMMUNICATION POLICY. SHOULD THE 110.70 STRONGLY DEFENDED THEN SHORT ON THE USDJPY COULD BE PLACED AT 110.00/110.70 TO TARGET THE 100.00.
Comment:
SHORT USDJPY AT 110.00/110.70
STOP LOSS AT 111.70
TARGET 100.00
OPTION TARGET:
TARGET 1. 107.40
TARGET 2. 104.50
TARGET 3. 100.00
STOP LOSS AT 111.70
TARGET 100.00
OPTION TARGET:
TARGET 1. 107.40
TARGET 2. 104.50
TARGET 3. 100.00
Comment:
THE USDJPY STABILIZATION AT 108.50 +/- 2.25 % (110.70-107.40) FAILED BY ALLOWING THE USDJPY TO BREAK 110.70 UP TO 111.20. ITS IMPACT SPILL OVER JPY'S DERIVATIVES.