ICmarkets

USD/JPY: Potential retest opportunity.

FX:USDJPY   U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen
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Weekly Timeframe: The weekly timeframe shows that the rebound from the major weekly swap level coming in at 115.503 is presently extending higher. Assuming that the buyers do not lose steam here, we can likely expect prices to test a weekly Quasimodo resistance level seen at 122.180.

Daily Timeframe: The daily timeframe shows that after the daily supply area at 119.196-118.041 was consumed last week, the path north was effectively cleared up to a daily supply area seen at 121.838-120.668. However, given that the aforementioned weekly Quasimodo resistance level (encapsulated by a daily supply area at 122.610-121.540) is lurking just above this area of supply, we expect this area to be faked.

4hr Timeframe: As reported in the previous analysis, we were reluctant to sell this pair because of where price is currently located on the higher timeframes (see above). Effectively, we have seen very little selling interest on this pair since the open (119.494), and this has consequently forced price above a small 4hr supply area (119.899-119.668) into the round number 120. Providing that the buyers do not give up and a close above here is seen, there could potentially be an opportunity to buy the retest targeting the 4hr supply area seen above at 120.992-120.668.

From now until Christmas Eve, we’re only looking for trades with small targets, essentially looking to play the bounces, as irregular liquidity can sometimes distort what would normally be tradable price action.

Current buy/sell levels:

• Buy orders: Flat (Predicative stop-loss orders seen at: N/A).

• Sell orders: Flat (Predicative stop-loss orders seen at: N/A).


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