I am following the RUBUSD for personal reasons. Although this is highly dependent on many fundamental factors and highly manipulated the structure is still clear and readable because it is a result of all those factors.
I have done a lot of forecast on this pair and it's amazing how the structure plays out !
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I don't make assumption as to what moves the market, I only look for possible moves based on the types of structural wave patterns that exist. I have had my fair share of experience watching things happens out of the blue causing moved that were predicted way before anyone can even such events could happen.